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Trade Jayden Daniels for Patrick Mahomes? No, Daniels is worth 10 more.

No on value. Jayden Daniels is worth 16 rest of season and Patrick Mahomes 6, so giving up Daniels costs 10. Daniels rates 18.5 market points a game with 10 games left, Mahomes 17.4 with 11. On usage, Daniels has thrown 28.5 passes and run 5.8 times a game; Mahomes has thrown 31.6 passes and run 2.2 times a game. Daniels is on bye in Week 7; Mahomes is at SEA in Week 7 (2nd fewest points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Jayden Daniels wins by 10.

Jayden Daniels 166 Patrick Mahomes

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16

value, #65

Pts/game
18.5
Games left
10
Bye
7
Jayden Daniels weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
no projectionno projection18.019.0no projection

6

value, #73

Pts/game
17.4
Games left
11
Bye
5
Patrick Mahomes weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
18.317.7no projection17.116.3

Where the values come from

Daniels is the 4th quarterback on the chart and 65th overall. His 18.5 a game is 1.6 above the replacement quarterback's 16.9, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 16.

Mahomes is the 7th quarterback on the chart and 73rd overall. His 17.4 a game is 0.5 above the replacement quarterback's 16.9, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 6.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Jayden Daniels at 18.0 in Week 5 and 19.0 in Week 6, a median of 18.5 points a game, up 1.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Patrick Mahomes at 18.3 in Week 3, 17.7 in Week 4, 17.1 in Week 6 and 16.3 in Week 7, a median of 17.4 points a game, down 2.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Jayden Daniels has scored 85.7 PPR points in 4 games, 21.4 a game, 2.9 a game more than the 18.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB34 with 117.3 PPR points in 7 games, 16.8 a game.

Week 1 vs PHI: 17.7 points (QB14 that week), 164 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 31 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DAL: 14.7 points (QB19 that week), 96 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 69 rushing yards, 55 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NYG: 32.3 points (QB2 that week), 199 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 103 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs SF: 21.0 points (QB7 that week), 300 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 10 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Patrick Mahomes has scored 97.1 PPR points in 5 games, 19.4 a game, 2.0 a game more than the 17.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB11 with 296.7 PPR points in 14 games, 21.2 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 22.7 points (QB9 that week), 184 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 29.0 points (QB4 that week), 382 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 17 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 16.9 points (QB20 that week), 246 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 1 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LV: 17.0 points (QB13 that week), 225 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAC: 11.5 points (QB23 that week), 272 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 16 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Jayden Daniels has averaged 28-29 attempts, 190 passing yards and 1.3 touchdown passes a game, with 5.8 runs for 54 yards on 88 percent of the snaps.

In Week 6 against SF he went 29 of 38 for 300 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 6, Patrick Mahomes has averaged 31.6 attempts, 262 passing yards and 1.8 touchdown passes a game, with 2.2 runs for 13 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 6 against LAC he went 23 of 30 for 272 yards and 0 touchdowns.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Jayden Daniels has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 7; Patrick Mahomes has 11 games with no bye left.

SEA, Mahomes's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 12.3 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest to QBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Patrick Mahomes would want about 10 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 11. Two players for Daniels also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Jayden Daniels for Patrick Mahomes?

    No on value: Jayden Daniels is worth 16 and Patrick Mahomes 6, a loss of 10. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Daniels.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Jayden Daniels or Patrick Mahomes?

    Jayden Daniels, 16 to 6. He rates 18.5 market points a game over 10 games left, against 17.4 over 11 for Patrick Mahomes, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number