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Trade Ollie Gordon II for Patrick Mahomes? No, Gordon is worth 12 more.

No on value. Ollie Gordon II is worth 18 rest of season and Patrick Mahomes 6, so giving up Gordon costs 12. Gordon rates 10.0 market points a game with 11 games left, Mahomes 17.4 with 11. On usage, Gordon has 36 percent of MIA carries and 4 percent of its targets; Mahomes has thrown 31.6 passes and run 2.2 times a game. Gordon is at NYJ in Week 7 (14th most points allowed to RBs); Mahomes is at SEA in Week 7 (2nd fewest points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Ollie Gordon II wins by 12.

Ollie Gordon II 186 Patrick Mahomes

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Ollie Gordon II

RB25MIA

18

value, #61

Pts/game
10.0
Games left
11
Bye
6
Ollie Gordon II weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
no projectionno projection10.2no projection9.7

Patrick Mahomes

QB7KC

6

value, #73

Pts/game
17.4
Games left
11
Bye
5
Patrick Mahomes weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
18.317.7no projection17.116.3

Where the values come from

Gordon is the 25th running back on the chart and 61st overall. His 10.0 a game is 1.6 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 18.

Mahomes is the 7th quarterback on the chart and 73rd overall. His 17.4 a game is 0.5 above the replacement quarterback's 16.9, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 6.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Ollie Gordon II at 10.2 in Week 5 and 9.7 in Week 7, a median of 10.0 points a game, down 0.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Patrick Mahomes at 18.3 in Week 3, 17.7 in Week 4, 17.1 in Week 6 and 16.3 in Week 7, a median of 17.4 points a game, down 2.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Ollie Gordon II has scored 48.0 PPR points in 4 games, 12.0 a game, 2.0 a game more than the 10.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB68 with 54.1 PPR points in 17 games, 3.2 a game.

Week 2 vs SF: 0.7 points (RB76 that week), 7 rushing yards on 3 carries, 19 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs KC: 14.5 points (RB13 that week), 41 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 14 yards, 1 touchdown, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs MIN: 18.0 points (RB16 that week), 100 rushing yards on 9 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CIN: 14.8 points (RB17 that week), 88 rushing yards on 18 carries, 1 touchdown, 65 percent of snaps.

Patrick Mahomes has scored 97.1 PPR points in 5 games, 19.4 a game, 2.0 a game more than the 17.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB11 with 296.7 PPR points in 14 games, 21.2 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 22.7 points (QB9 that week), 184 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 29.0 points (QB4 that week), 382 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 17 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 16.9 points (QB20 that week), 246 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 1 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LV: 17.0 points (QB13 that week), 225 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAC: 11.5 points (QB23 that week), 272 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 16 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 5, Ollie Gordon II has averaged 9.4 carries for 47 yards and 1.0 targets and 1.0 catches for 3 yards a game on 48 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 15 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against CIN he had 18 carries and 0 targets on 65 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Patrick Mahomes has averaged 31.6 attempts, 262 passing yards and 1.8 touchdown passes a game, with 2.2 runs for 13 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 6 against LAC he went 23 of 30 for 272 yards and 0 touchdowns.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Ollie Gordon II has 11 games in it with no bye left; Patrick Mahomes has 11 games with no bye left.

NYJ, Gordon's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 21.9 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most to RBs of 32.

SEA, Mahomes's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 12.3 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest to QBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Patrick Mahomes would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Devaughn Vele, valued at 12. Two players for Gordon also costs that side a roster spot.

Devaughn Vele's player page

Other trades for Ollie Gordon II and Patrick Mahomes

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Ollie Gordon II for Patrick Mahomes?

    No on value: Ollie Gordon II is worth 18 and Patrick Mahomes 6, a loss of 12. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Gordon.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Ollie Gordon II or Patrick Mahomes?

    Ollie Gordon II, 18 to 6. He rates 10.0 market points a game over 11 games left, against 17.4 over 11 for Patrick Mahomes, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 21, 2026 at 11:21 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number