Trade J.K. Dobbins for Tyler Warren? Yes, Warren is worth 12 more.
Yes on value. Tyler Warren is worth 20 rest of season and J.K. Dobbins 8, so the side getting Warren gains 12. Dobbins rates 9.2 market points a game with 9 games left, Warren 11.6 with 9. On usage, Dobbins has 52 percent of DEN carries and 5 percent of its targets; Warren has drawn 22 percent of IND targets. Dobbins hosts KC in Week 8 (9th fewest points allowed to RBs); Warren is at JAX in Week 8 (11th fewest points allowed to TEs). Tyler Warren is listed Questionable (groin).
The verdict, Week 8
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- Pts/game
- 9.2
- Games left
- 9
- Bye
- 10
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 | Wk 6 | Wk 7 | Wk 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.1 | 10.5 | 9.3 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 4.3 |
- Pts/game
- 11.6
- Games left
- 9
- Bye
- 13
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 | Wk 6 | Wk 7 | Wk 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.9 | 12.8 | 12.3 | 13.3 | 1.8 | 10.1 |
Where the values come from
Dobbins is the 28th running back on the chart and 74th overall. His 9.2 a game is 0.9 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 8.
Warren is the 7th tight end on the chart and 58th overall. His 11.6 a game is 2.2 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 20.
The weekly projections
Parlae's market-based projections had J.K. Dobbins at 4.1 in Week 3, 10.5 in Week 4, 9.3 in Week 5, 9.1 in Week 6, 10.7 in Week 7 and 4.3 in Week 8, a median of 9.2 points a game, flat across them.
Parlae's market-based projections had Tyler Warren at 10.9 in Week 3, 12.8 in Week 4, 12.3 in Week 5, 13.3 in Week 6, 1.8 in Week 7 and 10.1 in Week 8, a median of 11.6 points a game, down 0.8 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
J.K. Dobbins has scored 58.0 PPR points in 7 games, 8.3 a game, 0.9 a game less than the 9.2 he is projected for from here.
Last season he finished RB43 with 115.9 PPR points in 10 games, 11.6 a game.
Week 1 vs KC: 3.6 points (RB53 that week), 36 rushing yards on 8 carries, 43 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs JAX: 3.6 points (RB51 that week), 36 rushing yards on 10 carries, 34 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs LAR: 6.3 points (RB39 that week), 49 rushing yards on 17 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards, 49 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs SF: 7.2 points (RB38 that week), 40 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards, 32 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs LAC: 15.4 points (RB16 that week), 68 rushing yards on 18 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 52 percent of snaps.
Week 6 vs SEA: 13.6 points (RB16 that week), 41 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 5 yards, 1 touchdown, 52 percent of snaps.
Week 7 vs ARI: 8.3 points (RB39 that week), 23 rushing yards on 6 carries, 1 touchdown, 23 percent of snaps.
Tyler Warren has scored 69.9 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 2.4 a game more than the 11.6 he is projected for from here.
Last season he finished TE4 with 188.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.1 a game.
Week 1 vs BAL: 10.3 points (TE14 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 13 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs KC: 14.4 points (TE10 that week), 3 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 21 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs HOU: 14.7 points (TE10 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 9 of 10 targets for 55 yards, 94 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs WAS: 9.1 points (TE21 that week), 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards, 85 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs PIT: 21.4 points (TE5 that week), 1 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 9 targets for 83 yards, 1 touchdown, 94 percent of snaps.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 7, J.K. Dobbins has averaged 12.4 carries for 42 yards and 1.3 targets and 1.1 catches for 4 yards a game on 41 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 13 times inside the 20, 27 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 7 games.
In Week 7 against ARI he had 6 carries and 0 targets on 23 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 5, Tyler Warren has averaged 0.6 carries for 1 yard and 7.2 targets and 6.0 catches for 43 yards a game on 91 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.
In Week 5 against PIT he had 1 carry and 9 targets on 94 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. J.K. Dobbins has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Tyler Warren has 9 games with his bye in Week 13.
KC, Dobbins's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 19.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th fewest to RBs of 32.
JAX, Warren's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 11.8 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 11th fewest to TEs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting J.K. Dobbins would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Denzel Boston, valued at 13. Two players for Warren also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for J.K. Dobbins and Tyler Warren

David Montgomery for J.K. Dobbins20 vs 8
DJ Moore for J.K. Dobbins20 vs 8
Jeremiyah Love for J.K. Dobbins20 vs 8
J.K. Dobbins for Quinshon Judkins8 vs 20
J.K. Dobbins for Ollie Gordon II8 vs 19
Rhamondre Stevenson for Tyler Warren30 vs 20
Saquon Barkley for Tyler Warren28 vs 20
Jaylen Waddle for Tyler Warren27 vs 20
DK Metcalf for Tyler Warren25 vs 20
Michael Wilson for Tyler Warren25 vs 20
The full Week 8 trade value chart
Week 8 on the board
- Is J.K. Dobbins playing Week 8?
- Is Tyler Warren playing Week 8?
- Broncos depth chart
- Colts depth chart
- Week 8 RB rankings
- Week 8 TE rankings
- Week 8 fantasy rankings
- Week 8 start or sit
- Week 8 waiver wire
- Week 8 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 8
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 8 kicker rankings
- Week 8 defense rankings
Common questions
Should I trade J.K. Dobbins for Tyler Warren?
Yes on value: Tyler Warren is worth 20 and J.K. Dobbins 8, a gain of 12. If J.K. Dobbins starts for you and Tyler Warren would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.
Who has more rest-of-season value, J.K. Dobbins or Tyler Warren?
Tyler Warren, 20 to 8. He rates 11.6 market points a game over 9 games left, against 9.2 over 9 for J.K. Dobbins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number