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Trade Josh Downs for Saquon Barkley? Close to even, 22 to 28.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Josh Downs is 22 and Saquon Barkley is 28, a 6 point edge to Barkley that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Downs rates 11.5 market points a game with 9 games left, Barkley 11.4 with 9. On usage, Downs has drawn 20 percent of IND targets; Barkley has 34 percent of PHI carries and 6 percent of its targets. Downs is at JAX in Week 8 (4th most points allowed to WRs); Barkley is at WAS in Week 8 (7th fewest points allowed to RBs). Saquon Barkley is listed Questionable (back).

The verdict, Week 8

Close to even.

Josh Downs 2228 Saquon Barkley

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Josh Downs

WR26IND

22

value, #56

Pts/game
11.5
Games left
9
Bye
13
Josh Downs weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
11.414.212.511.79.21.8

Saquon Barkley

RB21PHIQuestionable

28

value, #46

Pts/game
11.4
Games left
9
Bye
10
Saquon Barkley weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.513.63.9no projection11.33.4

Where the values come from

Downs is the 26th receiver on the chart and 56th overall. His 11.5 a game is 2.4 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 22.

Barkley is the 21st running back on the chart and 46th overall. His 11.4 a game is 3.1 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 28.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Josh Downs at 11.4 in Week 3, 14.2 in Week 4, 12.5 in Week 5, 11.7 in Week 6, 9.2 in Week 7 and 1.8 in Week 8, a median of 11.5 points a game, down 9.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Saquon Barkley at 15.5 in Week 3, 13.6 in Week 4, 3.9 in Week 5, 11.4 in Week 7 and 3.4 in Week 8, a median of 11.4 points a game, down 12.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Josh Downs has scored 57.4 PPR points in 7 games, 8.2 a game, 3.3 a game less than the 11.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR44 with 136.4 PPR points in 16 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 5.7 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.2 points (WR20 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 72 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 12.7 points (WR30 that week), 5 of 11 targets for 77 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 4.6 points (WR77 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 7.7 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs TEN: 8.7 points (WR41 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs MIN: 3.8 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 18 yards, 90 percent of snaps.

Saquon Barkley has scored 38.1 PPR points in 5 games, 7.6 a game, 3.8 a game less than the 11.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB14 with 232.3 PPR points in 16 games, 14.5 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 9.0 points (RB30 that week), 83 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -3 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 3.0 points (RB58 that week), 9 rushing yards on 4 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards, 16 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 9.0 points (RB32 that week), 82 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -2 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LAR: 2.0 points (RB62 that week), 8 rushing yards on 2 carries, 1 of 1 target for 2 yards, 7 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs DAL: 15.1 points (RB20 that week), 62 rushing yards on 7 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards, 1 touchdown, 16 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Josh Downs has averaged 6.6 targets and 3.7 catches for 44 yards a game on 82 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 10 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 7 games.

In Week 7 against MIN he had 4 targets on 90 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Saquon Barkley has averaged 8.6 carries for 49 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.2 catches for 3 yards a game on 33 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 17 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 5 games.

In Week 7 against DAL he had 7 carries and 2 targets on 16 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Josh Downs has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Saquon Barkley has 9 games with his bye in Week 10.

JAX, Downs's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 38.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 4th most to WRs of 32.

WAS, Barkley's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 19.0 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest to RBs of 32.

Other trades for Josh Downs and Saquon Barkley

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Josh Downs for Saquon Barkley?

    It is close to even: Josh Downs is 22 and Saquon Barkley is 28 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Josh Downs or Saquon Barkley?

    Saquon Barkley, 28 to 22. He rates 11.4 market points a game over 9 games left, against 11.5 over 9 for Josh Downs, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number