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Should I start AJ Barner or Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 7?

Updated Oct 22, 10:21 AM ET.

Start AJ Barner: 93 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Aaron Jones Sr.'s 80 percent of the snaps and 74 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop AJ Barner for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), AJ Barner 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE19 · SEA · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
6.8 pts a game

RB40 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 5-0

Overall rank
122

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The gap

  • Board size317 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on AJ Barner, and the board ranks him 120th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

AJ Barner's market-based projection is 6.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 109th highest figure of the 216 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 3.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 13 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Aaron Jones Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 6, AJ Barner has been on the field for 90 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 3 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 2.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against LAC he caught 1 of 3 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against SF he caught 3 of 5 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against DEN he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 73 percent of MIN snaps, taken 68 percent of the carries, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 39 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 1 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 18 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against TB he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against MIA he carried 20 times for 94 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 25 times for 113 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

AJ Barner was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and AJ Barner 8.7, 1.2 a game between them.

AJ Barner finished TE14 and Aaron Jones Sr. RB41, which are two different ladders.

AJ Barner is a tight end and Aaron Jones Sr. a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

AJ Barner is off in Week 11 and Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Aaron Jones Sr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop AJ Barner for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), AJ Barner 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for AJ Barner?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), AJ Barner 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games).

Should I drop AJ Barner?

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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