Should I start Dylan Sampson or Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Dylan Sampson's market-based projection is 9.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 78th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Aaron Jones Sr.'s market-based projection is 7.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 87th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dylan Sampson, and the board ranks him 58th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 75th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Dylan Sampson has been on the field for 55 percent of CLE snaps, taken 20 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 24 third down targets, had 0 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against TEN he carried 6 times for 45 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against PIT he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 6 of 8 targets for 62 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against NO he carried 8 times for 21 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 32 percent of MIN snaps, taken 32 percent of the carries, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 24 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 8 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 0.8 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he carried 8 times for 26 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he carried 5 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against BUF he carried 5 times for 16 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dylan Sampson played 15 games and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He carried 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 more yards.

That came to 4.3 carries a game at 2.7 yards a carry and 2.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Dylan Sampson was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Dylan Sampson 5.8, 4.1 a game between them.

Dylan Sampson finished RB55 that year and Aaron Jones Sr. RB41.

Aaron Jones Sr. had 67 more carries than Dylan Sampson, 132 to 65.

Dylan Sampson had 5 more catches than Aaron Jones Sr., 33 to 28.

This season Dylan Sampson holds the bigger snap share, 55 percent against 32 percent.

This season Aaron Jones Sr. holds the bigger share of the carries, 32 percent against 20 percent.

Byes and availability

Dylan Sampson is off in Week 11 and Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.