Should I start Justice Hill or Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 9?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 52nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 129th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Justice Hill's market-based projection is 6.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 26th highest figure of the 175 players with a market-based projection.

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 3.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Aaron Jones Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Justice Hill has been on the field for 43 percent of BAL snaps, taken 11 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 25 targets have come 1.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 0 times for 0 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 3 times for 15 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 25 percent of MIN snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against IND he carried 8 times for 26 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he carried 5 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr. was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Justice Hill 6.5, 3.4 a game between them.

Justice Hill finished RB60 that year and Aaron Jones Sr. RB41.

Aaron Jones Sr. had 114 more carries than Justice Hill, 132 to 18.

Aaron Jones Sr. had 7 more catches than Justice Hill, 28 to 21.

This season Justice Hill holds the bigger snap share, 43 percent against 25 percent.

This season Aaron Jones Sr. holds the bigger share of the carries, 30 percent against 11 percent.

Byes and availability

Justice Hill is off in Week 13 and Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Justice Hill is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Aaron Jones Sr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.