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Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or MarShawn Lloyd in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 6:26 AM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

RB · MIN · vs BUF

Market projects
8.3
fantasy pts
BUF D vs RB
26.5
3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
41 of 100 at RB
Snap share
32%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

RB · GB · at NE

Market projects
6.6
recent weeks avg
NE D vs RB
18.9
6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
10 of 100 at RB
Snap share
35%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Start Jones or Lloyd? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Aaron Jones Sr.: 32 percent of the snaps and 30 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against MarShawn Lloyd's 31 percent of the snaps and 25 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), MarShawn Lloyd 48 (6.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over MarShawn Lloyd.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB21 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 5-2

Overall rank
57

RB53 · GB · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 4-4

Market-based projection
4.9 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
160

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 57th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on MarShawn Lloyd, and the board ranks him 160th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 48.

The market-based projections

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.4 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 8 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 1.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Aaron Jones Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 32 percent of MIN snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against IND he carried 8 times for 26 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he carried 5 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, MarShawn Lloyd has been on the field for 35 percent of GB snaps, taken 35 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 88 third down targets, had 3 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against DAL he carried 8 times for 10 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DET he carried 6 times for 20 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CAR he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

The season feed carries no line for MarShawn Lloyd in the last completed season.

Head to head

This season MarShawn Lloyd holds the bigger snap share, 35 percent against 32 percent.

This season MarShawn Lloyd holds the bigger share of the carries, 35 percent against 30 percent.

Byes and availability

Aaron Jones Sr. is off in Week 6 and MarShawn Lloyd in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), MarShawn Lloyd 48 (6.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over MarShawn Lloyd.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for MarShawn Lloyd?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), MarShawn Lloyd 48 (6.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over MarShawn Lloyd.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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