Start Aaron Jones Sr. or MarShawn Lloyd? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over MarShawn Lloyd in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.3 points and MarShawn Lloyd at 6.6, a gap of 1.7. Aaron Jones Sr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for MarShawn Lloyd this week yet, so his 6.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (11.4, 3.5 and 4.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 110 and MarShawn Lloyd at 125. Market coverage on Aaron Jones Sr. is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.3 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 33 rushing yards and 0.4 touchdowns (6 and 8 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for MarShawn Lloyd yet. His market-based projections were 11.5, 3.5 and 4.9 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 6.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 0.2 touchdowns (3 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 1.7 points ahead of MarShawn Lloyd on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 26.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 81 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 44 more yards.

MarShawn Lloyd and GB visit NE on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

NE allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 31 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

MarShawn Lloyd is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. played 32 percent of MIN snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 21 of 53 snaps, 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Through Week 8, MarShawn Lloyd played 35 percent of GB snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 5 against CHI: 27 of 61 snaps, 10 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 2 touchdowns.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 6 against DAL: 30 of 75 snaps, 8 carries for 10 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 7 against DET: 24 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 20 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 8 against CAR: 11 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.
• Start Bhayshul Tuten over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Blake Corum over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start MarShawn Lloyd over Alvin Kamara.
• Start Blake Corum over MarShawn Lloyd.
• Start MarShawn Lloyd over Brian Robinson.