Adonai Mitchell or Jalen Nailor: who should I start?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Adonai Mitchell at 7.3 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 143rd highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

The player markets price Jalen Nailor at 7.1 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 books. That is the 147th highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Adonai Mitchell: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 121st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 214.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jalen Nailor: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 125th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 207.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Adonai Mitchell has been on the field for 69 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 5 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have averaged 19.7 air yards.

In Week 1 against TEN he caught 3 of 3 targets for 60 yards and did not score.

Through Week 1, Jalen Nailor has been on the field for 60 percent of LV snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 8 third down targets and seen 1 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have averaged 12.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against MIA he caught 3 of 5 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Adonai Mitchell played 16 games and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 4.6 targets a game, a 45 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jalen Nailor played 17 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 55 percent catch rate and 15.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Nailor was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jalen Nailor scored 5.9 PPR points a game and Adonai Mitchell 5.5, 0.4 a game between them.

Adonai Mitchell finished WR73 that year and Jalen Nailor WR61.

Adonai Mitchell had 21 more targets than Jalen Nailor, 74 to 53.

Adonai Mitchell had 9 more receiving yards than Jalen Nailor, 453 to 444.

This season Adonai Mitchell holds the bigger snap share, 69 percent against 60 percent.

This season Jalen Nailor holds the bigger target share, 17 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 13, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.