Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Alvin Kamara in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Patrick Mahomes's market-based projection is 15.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 31st highest figure of the 207 players with a market-based projection.

Alvin Kamara's market-based projection is 7.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 108th highest figure of the 207 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 97th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Alvin Kamara, and the board ranks him 96th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 174 times and thrown 6.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 174 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 3 against MIA he completed 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 4 against LV he completed 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 6 against LAC he completed 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.

Through Week 6, Alvin Kamara has been on the field for 31 percent of NO snaps, taken 28 percent of the carries, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 2 of its 18 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 22 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 0.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against ATL he carried 7 times for 23 yards, caught 5 of 7 targets for 35 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 5 against MIN he carried 3 times for 12 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for -6 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYG he carried 7 times for 34 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Alvin Kamara played 11 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He carried 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 more yards.

That came to 11.9 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 3.0 catches a game.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Patrick Mahomes was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Alvin Kamara 9.2, 12.0 a game between them.

Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 and Alvin Kamara RB46, which are two different ladders.

Patrick Mahomes is a quarterback and Alvin Kamara a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Alvin Kamara in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

8.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.