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Should I start Luther Burden III or Ashton Jeanty in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 8:11 AM ET.

Start Luther Burden III: his market-based projection is 1.4 points a game ahead of Ashton Jeanty's this season.

Should I drop Luther Burden III for Ashton Jeanty?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ashton Jeanty projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 8 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR13 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 3-5

Market-based projection
14.5 pts a game

RB17 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 3-5

Market-based projection
13.1 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference1.4 points a game
  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Luther Burden III's market-based projection is 14.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 43rd highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Ashton Jeanty's market-based projection is 13.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 53rd highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Luther Burden III, and the board ranks him 31st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 39.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ashton Jeanty, and the board ranks him 30th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 8; 2QB: ADP 25.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 61 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 19 third down targets, had 1 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 6.2 air yards.

In Week 7 against NE he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 4 targets for 130 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against SEA he caught 7 of 9 targets for 56 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Ashton Jeanty has been on the field for 66 percent of LV snaps, taken 55 percent of the carries, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 77 third down targets, had 9 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 43 two minute targets.

His 48 targets have averaged 2.1 air yards.

In Week 6 against BUF he carried 10 times for 22 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 36 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against LAR he carried 8 times for 15 yards, caught 8 of 8 targets for 61 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against NYJ he carried 2 times for 9 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 64 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Ashton Jeanty played 17 games and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He carried 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 more yards.

That came to 15.6 carries a game at 3.7 yards a carry and 3.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ashton Jeanty was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Ashton Jeanty scored 14.4 PPR points a game and Luther Burden III 8.5, 5.9 a game between them.

Luther Burden III finished WR48 and Ashton Jeanty RB11, which are two different ladders.

Luther Burden III is a wide receiver and Ashton Jeanty a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Luther Burden III is off in Week 10 and Ashton Jeanty in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Luther Burden III for Ashton Jeanty?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Ashton Jeanty projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 8 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games).

  • Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Luther Burden III?

    No. Keep Ashton Jeanty: he projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 8 games), Luther Burden III 93 (11.6 a game over 8 games).

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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