Should I start Baker Mayfield or Matthew Stafford in Week 9?
Updated Nov 4, 5:06 AM ET. Week 10 answers post Tuesday.
Latest
- : Matthew Stafford: Listed Questionable (Arm) (Sleeper injury feed)
Week 9 verdict
Start Matthew Stafford over Baker Mayfield
- Market projects
- 17.9
- fantasy pts
- WAS D vs QB
- 20.6
- 3rd most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 98%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 15.6
- fantasy pts
- CHI D vs QB
- 19.7
- 8th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 97%
- Through Week 8
Start Matthew Stafford: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Baker Mayfield's 95 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Matthew Stafford?
Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 128 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 8 games) and Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Baker Mayfield, 17.9 to 15.6 projected PPR points. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.
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Your next move
More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.
Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
QB17 · TB · bye 10
2026 vs pass yds line 1-4
- Overall rank
- 114
QB32 · LAR · bye 11
2026 vs pass yds line 4-4
- Market-based projection
- 15.7 pts a game Wk 8 price
- Overall rank
- 222
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The gap
- Board size306 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Baker Mayfield, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Matthew Stafford, and the board ranks him 222nd overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 15.7 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 14 market sources. That is 80 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market-based projection for Matthew Stafford is 0.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Baker Mayfield's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 8
Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 97 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and thrown 8.4 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 23 of 134 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.
In Week 3 against MIN he completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.
In Week 7 against CAR he completed 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.
In Week 8 against ATL he completed 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 15 yards.
Through Week 8, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 316 times and thrown 7.7 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 45 of 316 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.
In Week 6 against ARI he completed 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards and threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
In Week 7 against LV he completed 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.
In Week 8 against LAC he completed 17 of 25 passes for 157 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.
He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.
That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.
He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.
That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Both were available for 17 games that season.
Head to head
In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and Baker Mayfield 16.6, 4.4 a game between them.
Baker Mayfield finished QB12 that year and Matthew Stafford QB3.
Matthew Stafford had 54 more pass attempts than Baker Mayfield, 597 to 543.
Matthew Stafford had 1014 more passing yards than Baker Mayfield, 4707 to 3693.
This season Matthew Stafford holds the bigger snap share, 98 percent against 97 percent.
Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.
Byes and availability
Baker Mayfield is off in Week 10 and Matthew Stafford in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.
Matthew Stafford is listed as questionable on the injury report.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Matthew Stafford?
Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 128 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 8 games) and Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Baker Mayfield, 17.9 to 15.6 projected PPR points. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.
Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Baker Mayfield?
Not on these numbers alone. Matthew Stafford projects 129 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 8 games) and Baker Mayfield 128 (16.0 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Baker Mayfield, 17.9 to 15.6 projected PPR points. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.
Should I drop Matthew Stafford?
Both players in full
Week 9 on the board
- Is Baker Mayfield playing Week 9?
- Is Matthew Stafford playing Week 9?
- Buccaneers depth chart
- Rams depth chart
- Week 9 QB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings
