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Start Baker Mayfield or Matthew Stafford? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 5:06 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Matthew Stafford: Listed Questionable (Arm) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Matthew Stafford over Baker Mayfield

Start

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · at WAS · Questionable

Market projects
17.9
fantasy pts
WAS D vs QB
20.6
3rd most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
38 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 8
Sit

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
15.6
fantasy pts
CHI D vs QB
19.7
8th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
15 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Matthew Stafford?

Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 128 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 8 games) and Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Baker Mayfield, 17.9 to 15.6 projected PPR points. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Matthew Stafford over Baker Mayfield in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Matthew Stafford at 17.9 points and Baker Mayfield at 15.6, a gap of 2.3. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Matthew Stafford at ADP 75 and Baker Mayfield at 133.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.6 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 214 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 14 and 9 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.9 fantasy points for Matthew Stafford, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Matthew Stafford is 253 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (9, 9 and 9 market sources).

That puts Matthew Stafford 2.3 points ahead of Baker Mayfield on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Baker Mayfield and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 19.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 8th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 235 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against CHI, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Matthew Stafford and LAR visit WAS on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

WAS allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 258 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against WAS, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Matthew Stafford has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Matthew Stafford is listed as questionable with a arm injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield played 97 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and threw an average of 8.4 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 7 against CAR: 57 of 63 snaps, 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 8 against ATL: 60 of 60 snaps, 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 15 yards.

Through Week 8, Matthew Stafford played 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 316 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 5 against BUF: 82 of 82 snaps, 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 58 of 58 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 7 against LV: 72 of 72 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Matthew Stafford, Week 8 against LAC: 54 of 54 snaps, 17 of 25 passes for 157 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Matthew Stafford?

    Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 128 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 8 games) and Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Baker Mayfield, 17.9 to 15.6 projected PPR points. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Baker Mayfield?

    Not on these numbers alone. Matthew Stafford projects 129 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 8 games) and Baker Mayfield 128 (16.0 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Baker Mayfield, 17.9 to 15.6 projected PPR points. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.

Should I drop Matthew Stafford?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board