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Start Deshaun Watson or Bo Nix? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Start Bo Nix over Deshaun Watson

Start

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
15.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs QB
16.6
13th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

Deshaun Watson

QB · CLE · at NO

Market projects
15.2
recent weeks avg
NO D vs QB
17.8
15th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Deshaun Watson for Bo Nix?

Not on these numbers alone. Deshaun Watson projects 126 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.8 a game over 8 games) and Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Bo Nix over Deshaun Watson.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Bo Nix over Deshaun Watson in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 15.6 points and Deshaun Watson at 15.2, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 15.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (14.9, 16.3 and 15.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Deshaun Watson this week yet, so his 15.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (16.9, 13.5 and 15.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 14.9, 16.3 and 15.7 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 15.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Deshaun Watson yet. His market-based projections were 16.9, 13.5 and 15.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 15.2, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Bo Nix 0.4 points ahead of Deshaun Watson on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 16.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 208 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

Deshaun Watson and CLE visit NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NO allowed 17.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 15th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 250 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against NO, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Deshaun Watson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Deshaun Watson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and threw an average of 5.4 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 7 against ARI: 61 of 61 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 75 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 8 against KC: 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Through Week 8, Deshaun Watson played 100 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 306 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Deshaun Watson, Week 5 against NYJ: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 33 passes for 155 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 6 against BAL: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 164 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 29 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 7 against TEN: 70 of 70 snaps, 25 of 36 passes for 308 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 8 against PIT: 27 of 39 passes for 324 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Deshaun Watson for Bo Nix?

    Not on these numbers alone. Deshaun Watson projects 126 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.8 a game over 8 games) and Bo Nix 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Bo Nix over Deshaun Watson.

  • Should I drop Bo Nix for Deshaun Watson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 8 games) and Deshaun Watson 126 (15.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Bo Nix over Deshaun Watson.

Should I drop Bo Nix?Should I drop Deshaun Watson?

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board