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Should I start Bo Nix or Malik Willis in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 11:06 PM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start Bo Nix over Malik Willis

Start

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects
16.2
fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB
22.1
4th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
86 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 6
Sit

QB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects
14.2
fantasy pts
NYJ D vs QB
15.1
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
71 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 5
Start Nix or Willis? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Bo Nix: his market-based projection is 2.2 points a game ahead of Malik Willis's this season.

Should I drop Malik Willis for Bo Nix?

Not on these numbers alone. Malik Willis projects 158 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.4 a game over 11 games) and Bo Nix 162 (16.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Malik Willis, 16.2 to 14.2 projected PPR points.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB14 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 1-5

Market-based projection
16.4 pts a game

QB24 · MIA · bye 6

2026 vs pass yds line 3-2

Market-based projection
14.2 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference2.2 points a game
  • Board size315 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Bo Nix's market-based projection is 16.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 26th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Malik Willis's market-based projection is 14.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 55th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Bo Nix, and the board ranks him 92nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Malik Willis, and the board ranks him 128th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 38.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and thrown 4.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 23 of 202 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 4 against SF he completed 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 10 yards.

In Week 5 against LAC he completed 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 10 yards.

In Week 6 against SEA he completed 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 3 yards.

Through Week 5, Malik Willis has been on the field for 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 160 times and thrown 10.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 160 dropbacks and scrambled 17 times.

In Week 3 against KC he completed 20 of 36 passes for 210 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 9 times for 56 yards.

In Week 4 against MIN he completed 9 of 17 passes for 85 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 11 yards.

In Week 5 against CIN he completed 15 of 26 passes for 137 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 8 times for 74 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Malik Willis played 4 games and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He threw for 422 yards on 35 attempts with 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 8.8 attempts a game at 12.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix was available for 13 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Bo Nix scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Malik Willis 12.8, 5.8 a game between them.

Bo Nix finished QB7 that year and Malik Willis QB45.

Bo Nix had 577 more pass attempts than Malik Willis, 612 to 35.

Bo Nix had 3509 more passing yards than Malik Willis, 3931 to 422.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Bo Nix is off in Week 10 and Malik Willis in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Malik Willis for Bo Nix?

    Not on these numbers alone. Malik Willis projects 158 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.4 a game over 11 games) and Bo Nix 162 (16.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Malik Willis, 16.2 to 14.2 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Bo Nix for Malik Willis?

    Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 162 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 10 games) and Malik Willis 158 (14.4 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Malik Willis, 16.2 to 14.2 projected PPR points.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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