Should I drop Bo Nix for Malik Willis?

Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 162 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 10 games) and Malik Willis 158 (14.4 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Malik Willis, 16.2 to 14.2 projected PPR points.

Start Bo Nix or Malik Willis? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 11:06 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Bo Nix over Malik Willis

Start

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 16.2; fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB: 22.1; 4th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 86 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Malik Willis

QB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects: 14.2; fantasy pts
NYJ D vs QB: 15.1; 8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 71 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 5

Should I drop Malik Willis for Bo Nix?

Not on these numbers alone. Malik Willis projects 158 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.4 a game over 11 games) and Bo Nix 162 (16.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Malik Willis, 16.2 to 14.2 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bo Nix over Malik Willis in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 16.2 points and Malik Willis at 14.2, a gap of 2.0. Drafters take Bo Nix at ADP 116 and Malik Willis at 197.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.2 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 221 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 12 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 13, 12 and 9 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.2 fantasy points for Malik Willis, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Malik Willis is 182 passing yards, 31 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (9, 11 and 10 market sources).

That puts Bo Nix 2.0 points ahead of Malik Willis on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 247 yards and 2.7 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

Malik Willis and MIA visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 15.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 202 yards and 1-2 touchdowns a game against NYJ, with 0.2 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Malik Willis is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Through Week 5, Malik Willis played 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 160 times and threw an average of 10.4 air yards per attempt.

Malik Willis, Week 2 against SF: 59 of 59 snaps, 14 of 23 passes for 197 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 3 against KC: 73 of 73 snaps, 20 of 36 passes for 210 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 9 carries for 56 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 4 against MIN: 39 of 39 snaps, 9 of 17 passes for 85 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 5 against CIN: 66 of 66 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 137 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 8 carries for 74 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Malik Willis played 4 games for GB and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 22 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Malik Willis for Bo Nix?
Not on these numbers alone. Malik Willis projects 158 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.4 a game over 11 games) and Bo Nix 162 (16.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Malik Willis, 16.2 to 14.2 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Bo Nix for Malik Willis?
Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 162 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 10 games) and Malik Willis 158 (14.4 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Malik Willis, 16.2 to 14.2 projected PPR points.