Should I drop Malik Willis for Michael Penix Jr.?

Not on these numbers alone. Malik Willis projects 158 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.4 a game over 11 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 151 (15.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Malik Willis, 15.1 to 14.1 projected PPR points.

Start Michael Penix Jr. or Malik Willis? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 5:26 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Michael Penix Jr. over Malik Willis

Start

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs SF

Market projects: 15.1; fantasy pts
SF D vs QB: 14.9; 7th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 34 of 100 at QB

Sit

Malik Willis

QB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects: 14.1; fantasy pts
NYJ D vs QB: 15.1; 8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 71 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 5

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Malik Willis?

Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games) and Malik Willis 158 (14.4 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Malik Willis, 15.1 to 14.1 projected PPR points.

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Michael Penix Jr. rookie cards

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Our Week 7 call

Start Michael Penix Jr. over Malik Willis in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Michael Penix Jr. at 15.1 points and Malik Willis at 14.1, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.1 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Michael Penix Jr. is 229 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 2 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 13, 8 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.1 fantasy points for Malik Willis, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Malik Willis is 182 passing yards, 31 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (8, 11 and 10 market sources).

That puts Michael Penix Jr. 0.9 points ahead of Malik Willis on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Michael Penix Jr. and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 14.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 226 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against SF, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

Malik Willis and MIA visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 15.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 202 yards and 1-2 touchdowns a game against NYJ, with 0.2 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Malik Willis has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Malik Willis is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Malik Willis played 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 160 times and threw an average of 10.4 air yards per attempt.

Malik Willis, Week 2 against SF: 59 of 59 snaps, 14 of 23 passes for 197 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 3 against KC: 73 of 73 snaps, 20 of 36 passes for 210 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 9 carries for 56 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 4 against MIN: 39 of 39 snaps, 9 of 17 passes for 85 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 5 against CIN: 66 of 66 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 137 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 8 carries for 74 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games for ATL and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He completed 166 of 276 passes for 1982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Malik Willis played 4 games for GB and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 22 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Malik Willis?
Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games) and Malik Willis 158 (14.4 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Malik Willis, 15.1 to 14.1 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Malik Willis for Michael Penix Jr.?
Not on these numbers alone. Malik Willis projects 158 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.4 a game over 11 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 151 (15.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Malik Willis, 15.1 to 14.1 projected PPR points.