Cade Otton or Ted Hurst: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Cade Otton at 7.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 119th highest figure of the 185 players the market prices.

The player markets price Ted Hurst at 5.0 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 17 market sources. That is the 144th highest figure of the 185 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Cade Otton: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 128th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Ted Hurst: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 144th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Cade Otton has been on the field for 94 percent of TB snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 23 targets have averaged 7.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CLE he caught 5 of 6 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against MIN he caught 3 of 6 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Ted Hurst has been on the field for 66 percent of TB snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 16 targets have averaged 17.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against CLE he caught 2 of 7 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against MIN he caught 1 of 3 targets for 40 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Cade Otton played 16 games and scored 122.2 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing TE22.

He caught 59 of 81 targets for 572 yards and 1 touchdown, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 5.1 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 9.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ted Hurst is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Side by side

Cade Otton is a tight end and Ted Hurst a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

What would change the answer

2.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.