Should I start Caleb Williams or Stefon Diggs in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Caleb Williams's market-based projection is 18.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 12th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Stefon Diggs's market-based projection is 10.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 90th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Williams, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Stefon Diggs, and the board ranks him 73rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 47.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 186 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 27 of 186 dropbacks and scrambled 15 times.

In Week 6 against ATL he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 4 yards.

In Week 7 against NE he completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.

In Week 8 against SEA he completed 24 of 34 passes for 247 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

Through Week 8, Stefon Diggs has been on the field for 61 percent of WAS snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 2 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 8.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against IND he caught 5 of 9 targets for 35 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against SF he caught 6 of 7 targets for 44 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against PHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 38 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Stefon Diggs played 17 games and scored 210.3 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR17.

He caught 85 of 102 targets for 1013 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 83 percent catch rate and 11.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Caleb Williams scored 19.1 PPR points a game and Stefon Diggs 12.4, 6.8 a game between them.

Caleb Williams finished QB5 and Stefon Diggs WR17, which are two different ladders.

Caleb Williams is a quarterback and Stefon Diggs a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Caleb Williams is off in Week 10 and Stefon Diggs in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

9.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.