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Start Caleb Williams or Malik Willis? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 5:06 AM ET.

Start Caleb Williams over Malik Willis

Start

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · vs TB

Market projects
18.8
fantasy pts
TB D vs QB
13.1
4th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
83 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 8
Sit

Malik Willis

QB · MIA · vs DET

Market projects
18.0
fantasy pts
DET D vs QB
25.5
most to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
98 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Malik Willis for Caleb Williams?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.8 a game over 8 games), Malik Willis 134 (14.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Malik Willis, 18.8 to 18.0 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Caleb Williams over Malik Willis in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Caleb Williams at 18.8 points and Malik Willis at 18.0, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Caleb Williams's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Caleb Williams at ADP 87 and Malik Willis at 197.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.8 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 250 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (13, 15 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.0 fantasy points for Malik Willis, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Malik Willis is 208 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 30 rushing yards and 0.4 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 13 and 13 market sources).

That puts Caleb Williams 0.7 points ahead of Malik Willis on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Caleb Williams and CHI host TB on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

TB allowed 13.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against TB, with 1.5 interceptions a game.

Malik Willis and MIA host DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 25.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 298 yards and 2.6 touchdowns a game against DET, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Malik Willis has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Malik Willis is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Caleb Williams played 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 186 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 7 against NE: 69 of 69 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 8 against SEA: 70 of 70 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Through Week 8, Malik Willis played 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 225 times and threw an average of 9.4 air yards per attempt.

Malik Willis, Week 4 against MIN: 39 of 39 snaps, 9 of 17 passes for 85 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 5 against CIN: 66 of 66 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 137 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 8 carries for 74 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 7 against NYJ: 65 of 65 snaps, 14 of 21 passes for 208 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 39 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 8 against NE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 32 passes for 211 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Malik Willis played 4 games for GB and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 22 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Malik Willis for Caleb Williams?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.8 a game over 8 games), Malik Willis 134 (14.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Malik Willis, 18.8 to 18.0 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Caleb Williams for Malik Willis?

    No. Keep Caleb Williams: he projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.8 a game over 8 games), Malik Willis 134 (14.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Caleb Williams over Malik Willis, 18.8 to 18.0 projected PPR points.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board