Jaylen Waddle or Carnell Tate: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Jaylen Waddle at 12.0 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 69th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

The player markets price Carnell Tate at 11.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 78th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jaylen Waddle: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 45th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 15; 2QB: ADP 37.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Carnell Tate: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 52nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Jaylen Waddle has been on the field for 69 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 0 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 26 targets have averaged 10.7 air yards.

In Week 2 against JAX he caught 8 of 10 targets for 138 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against LAR he carried 1 time for 14 yards, caught 2 of 7 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against SF he caught 5 of 6 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 4, Carnell Tate has been on the field for 84 percent of TEN snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 31 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 32 targets have averaged 11.8 air yards.

In Week 2 against PHI he caught 3 of 5 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against NYG he caught 6 of 9 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against BAL he caught 9 of 12 targets for 145 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jaylen Waddle played 16 games and scored 194.1 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing WR24.

He caught 64 of 100 targets for 910 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.3 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 14.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Carnell Tate is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Carnell Tate holds the bigger snap share, 84 percent against 69 percent.

This season Carnell Tate holds the bigger target share, 30 percent against 21 percent.

Byes and availability

Jaylen Waddle is off in Week 10 and Carnell Tate in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.