Trey McBride or Chase Brown: who should I start?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Trey McBride at 14.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 18 books. That is the 42nd highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

The player markets price Chase Brown at 14.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 43rd highest figure of the 183 players the books price.

Where the draft room has them

Trey McBride goes at ADP 4, an average pick of 29.8, and the board has him TE1 in tier 1.

His earliest recorded pick is 13 and his latest 41, a standard deviation of 6.4 picks.

He appears in 940 recorded drafts across the formats the consensus sample covers.

Over 14 days his average pick has not moved a full pick either way.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 65.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Chase Brown: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 23rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 30.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Trey McBride has been on the field for 80 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 35 percent of the targets and had 31 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 1 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 6.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against LAC he caught 9 of 13 targets for 95 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 1, Chase Brown has been on the field for 72 percent of CIN snaps, taken 62 percent of the carries, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 40 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 3 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 7 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against TB he carried 16 times for 56 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 22 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trey McBride played 17 games and scored 315.9 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing TE1.

He caught 126 of 169 targets for 1239 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 32 red zone targets.

That came to 9.9 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Trey McBride scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Chase Brown 16.6, 2.0 a game between them.

Trey McBride finished TE1 and Chase Brown RB7, which are two different ladders.

Trey McBride is a tight end and Chase Brown a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Trey McBride is off in Week 14 and Chase Brown in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.