Should I start Chuba Hubbard or Justin Jefferson in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Chuba Hubbard's market-based projection is 17.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 17th highest figure of the 218 players with a market-based projection.

Justin Jefferson's market-based projection is 16.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 21st highest figure of the 218 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chuba Hubbard, and the board ranks him 11th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 10th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Chuba Hubbard has been on the field for 81 percent of CAR snaps, taken 73 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 7 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 31 targets have come 0.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against TB he carried 7 times for 33 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against GB he carried 22 times for 81 yards, caught 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against DEN he carried 16 times for 79 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 82 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 21 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 10.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he caught 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he caught 5 of 9 targets for 33 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against BUF he caught 3 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chuba Hubbard played 15 games and scored 125.4 PPR points, 8.4 a game, finishing RB38.

He carried 134 times for 511 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 39 targets for 223 more yards.

That came to 8.9 carries a game at 3.8 yards a carry and 2.0 catches a game.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Justin Jefferson scored 11.9 PPR points a game and Chuba Hubbard 8.4, 3.5 a game between them.

Chuba Hubbard finished RB38 and Justin Jefferson WR21, which are two different ladders.

Chuba Hubbard is a running back and Justin Jefferson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Chuba Hubbard is off in Week 5 and Justin Jefferson in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.