Should I start Justin Jefferson or Tee Higgins in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Justin Jefferson's market-based projection is 15.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 33rd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Tee Higgins's market-based projection is 13.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 57th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 29th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tee Higgins, and the board ranks him 41st overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 74 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against TB he caught 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 1 time for -11 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 5, Tee Higgins has been on the field for 77 percent of CIN snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 33 two minute targets.

His 43 targets have averaged 13.3 air yards.

In Week 3 against PIT he caught 6 of 7 targets for 90 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against JAX he caught 11 of 16 targets for 157 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against MIA he caught 2 of 4 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tee Higgins played 15 games and scored 211.6 PPR points, 14.1 a game, finishing WR15.

He caught 59 of 98 targets for 846 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 14.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 80 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tee Higgins scored 14.1 PPR points a game and Justin Jefferson 11.9, 2.3 a game between them.

Justin Jefferson finished WR21 that year and Tee Higgins WR15.

Justin Jefferson had 43 more targets than Tee Higgins, 141 to 98.

Justin Jefferson had 202 more receiving yards than Tee Higgins, 1048 to 846.

This season Tee Higgins holds the bigger snap share, 77 percent against 74 percent.

This season Justin Jefferson holds the bigger target share, 25 percent against 23 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 6, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Justin Jefferson is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.9 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.