Should I start Kenneth Walker or Justin Jefferson in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Kenneth Walker's market-based projection is 19.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 12th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Justin Jefferson's market-based projection is 16.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 19th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kenneth Walker, and the board ranks him 9th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 6; 2QB: ADP 17.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 10th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Kenneth Walker has been on the field for 75 percent of KC snaps, taken 76 percent of the carries, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 58 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 13 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 19 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have come 1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against MIA he carried 18 times for 70 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 3 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 4 against LV he carried 22 times for 177 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against LAC he carried 19 times for 128 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 11 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 9, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 82 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 21 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 10.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he caught 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he caught 5 of 9 targets for 33 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against BUF he caught 3 of 11 targets for 58 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

The season feed carries no line for Kenneth Walker in the last completed season.

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Side by side

Kenneth Walker is a running back and Justin Jefferson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Kenneth Walker is off in Week 5 and Justin Jefferson in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.