Should I start Kyler Murray or Darren Waller in Week 8?

The market-based projections

Kyler Murray's market-based projection is 17.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 11th highest figure of the 200 players with a market-based projection.

Darren Waller's market-based projection is 5.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 69th highest figure of the 200 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyler Murray, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 18.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Darren Waller, and the board ranks him 73rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 7

Through Week 7, Kyler Murray has been on the field for 84 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 151 times and thrown 6.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 21 of 151 dropbacks and scrambled 15 times.

In Week 4 against MIA he completed 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 21 yards.

In Week 5 against NO he completed 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 7 times for 54 yards.

In Week 7 against IND he completed 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 41 yards.

Through Week 7, Darren Waller has been on the field for 46 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 23 targets have averaged 10.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 3 of 6 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against TB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 50 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Kyler Murray played 5 games and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He threw for 962 yards on 161 attempts with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 32.2 attempts a game at 6.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Darren Waller played 9 games and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Darren Waller was available for 4 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Kyler Murray scored 16.2 PPR points a game and Darren Waller 9.9, 6.3 a game between them.

Kyler Murray finished QB38 and Darren Waller TE33, which are two different ladders.

Kyler Murray is a quarterback and Darren Waller a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Kyler Murray is off in Week 6 and Darren Waller in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

11.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.