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Start Geno Smith or Deshaun Watson? Week 9

Updated Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET.

Start Deshaun Watson over Geno Smith

Start

Deshaun Watson

QB · CLE · at NO

Market projects
15.2
recent weeks avg
NO D vs QB
17.8
15th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · at KC

Market projects
13.7
recent weeks avg
KC D vs QB
13.0
3rd fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Geno Smith for Deshaun Watson?

Not on these numbers alone. Geno Smith projects 122 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 8 games) and Deshaun Watson 126 (15.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Deshaun Watson over Geno Smith.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Deshaun Watson over Geno Smith in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Deshaun Watson at 15.2 points and Geno Smith at 13.7, a gap of 1.5. No player market is posted for Deshaun Watson this week yet, so his 15.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (16.9, 13.5 and 15.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Geno Smith this week yet, so his 13.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (10.6, 15.0 and 15.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Deshaun Watson yet. His market-based projections were 16.9, 13.5 and 15.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 15.2, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Geno Smith yet. His market-based projections were 10.6, 15.0 and 15.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Deshaun Watson 1.5 points ahead of Geno Smith on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Deshaun Watson and CLE visit NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NO allowed 17.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 15th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 250 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against NO, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Geno Smith and NYJ visit KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 13.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 230 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against KC, with an interception a game.

By points allowed to the position, Deshaun Watson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Deshaun Watson is not on the injury report.

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Deshaun Watson played 100 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 306 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Deshaun Watson, Week 5 against NYJ: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 33 passes for 155 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 6 against BAL: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 164 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 29 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 7 against TEN: 70 of 70 snaps, 25 of 36 passes for 308 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 8 against PIT: 27 of 39 passes for 324 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Through Week 8, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 272 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 5 against CLE: 70 of 70 snaps, 17 of 30 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 9 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 7 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 8 against LV: 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Geno Smith for Deshaun Watson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Geno Smith projects 122 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 8 games) and Deshaun Watson 126 (15.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Deshaun Watson over Geno Smith.

  • Should I drop Deshaun Watson for Geno Smith?

    Not on these numbers alone. Deshaun Watson projects 126 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.8 a game over 8 games) and Geno Smith 122 (15.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Deshaun Watson over Geno Smith.

Should I drop Deshaun Watson?Should I drop Geno Smith?

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board