Skip to main content

Should I start Garrett Wilson or Josh Downs in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 9:31 AM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

WR · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects
16.2
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR
23.2
3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
51 of 100 at WR
Snap share
90%
Through Week 6
Target share
29%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · IND · at MIN

Market projects
13.5
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs WR
27.1
5th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
36 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 6
Target share
21%
Through Week 6
Start Wilson or Downs? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Garrett Wilson: 96 percent of the snaps and 29 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Josh Downs's 83 percent of the snaps and 16 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Josh Downs for Garrett Wilson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games), Josh Downs 117 (11.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Garrett Wilson over Josh Downs.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Advertisement

Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR52 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection
15.8 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
149

WR75 · IND · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Market-based projection
12.6 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
178

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Or get it by email

Tuesday 8am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

The gap

  • Board size304 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Garrett Wilson, and the board ranks him 149th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 178th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Garrett Wilson is 2.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 5 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 0.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 10 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Garrett Wilson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Garrett Wilson has been on the field for 90 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 1 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 48 targets have averaged 9.6 air yards.

In Week 4 against CHI he caught 3 of 4 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CLE he caught 7 of 11 targets for 104 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 10.7 air yards.

In Week 4 against WAS he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TEN he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Garrett Wilson played 7 games and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 8.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Josh Downs was available for 9 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Garrett Wilson scored 14.2 PPR points a game and Josh Downs 8.5, 5.7 a game between them.

Garrett Wilson finished WR62 that year and Josh Downs WR44.

Josh Downs had 29 more targets than Garrett Wilson, 88 to 59.

Josh Downs had 171 more receiving yards than Garrett Wilson, 566 to 395.

This season Garrett Wilson holds the bigger snap share, 90 percent against 81 percent.

This season Garrett Wilson holds the bigger target share, 29 percent against 21 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 13, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Josh Downs for Garrett Wilson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games), Josh Downs 117 (11.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Garrett Wilson over Josh Downs.

  • Should I drop Garrett Wilson for Josh Downs?

    No. Keep Garrett Wilson: he projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games), Josh Downs 117 (11.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Garrett Wilson over Josh Downs.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

Next duels