Start Garrett Wilson or Josh Downs? Week 7

Our Week 7 call

Start Garrett Wilson over Josh Downs in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Garrett Wilson at 14.1 points and Josh Downs at 13.5, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Josh Downs this week yet, so his 13.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (16.3, 12.0 and 12.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Garrett Wilson at ADP 27 and Josh Downs at 96.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.1 fantasy points for Garrett Wilson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Garrett Wilson is 60 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (6, 6 and 11 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Josh Downs yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 12.0 and 12.3 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 13.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 0.2 touchdowns (10 market sources).

That puts Garrett Wilson 0.6 points ahead of Josh Downs on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Garrett Wilson and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 23.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 110 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against MIA.

Josh Downs and IND visit MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 27.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 133 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN.

By points allowed to the position, Josh Downs has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Garrett Wilson is not on the injury report.

Josh Downs is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Garrett Wilson played 90 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Garrett Wilson, Week 3 against DET: 62 of 66 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 107 yards, 1 touchdown.

Garrett Wilson, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Garrett Wilson, Week 5 against CLE: 65 of 70 snaps, 11 targets and 7 catches for 104 yards, 1 touchdown.

Garrett Wilson, Week 6 against NE: 61 of 62 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Through Week 6, Josh Downs played 81 percent of IND snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 26 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Josh Downs, Week 3 against HOU: 48 of 71 snaps, 11 targets and 5 catches for 77 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 4 against WAS: 51 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 16 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 5 against PIT: 60 of 71 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 6 against TEN: 71 of 83 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Garrett Wilson played 7 games for NYJ and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 291 air yards.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

• Start A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson.
• Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Garrett Wilson.
• Start Garrett Wilson over Carnell Tate.
• Start A.J. Brown over Josh Downs.
• Start Carnell Tate over Josh Downs.
• Start CeeDee Lamb over Josh Downs.