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Start Joe Burrow or Jared Goff? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Madrid, set your lineup before then.

Start Joe Burrow over Jared Goff

Start

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · at ATL

Market projects
22.8
fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB
18.0
13th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8
Sit

Jared Goff

QB · DET · at MIA

Market projects
18.6
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs QB
20.3
7th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Jared Goff for Joe Burrow?

Not on these numbers alone. Jared Goff projects 150 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 9 games) and Joe Burrow 154 (17.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over Jared Goff.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Joe Burrow over Jared Goff in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 22.8 points and Jared Goff at 18.6, a gap of 4.2. Joe Burrow's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Jared Goff this week yet, so his 18.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (21.1 and 16.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Joe Burrow at ADP 55 and Jared Goff at 106.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 22.8 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Joe Burrow is 272 passing yards, 2-3 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (5, 7 and 7 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Jared Goff yet. His market-based projections were 21.2 and 16.1 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 18.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Joe Burrow 4.2 points ahead of Jared Goff on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Joe Burrow and CIN visit ATL on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

ATL allowed 18.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 271 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Jared Goff and DET visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 20.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 7th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 236 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against MIA, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Jared Goff has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Joe Burrow played 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 289 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 4 against JAX: 76 of 76 snaps, 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 6 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 7 against BAL: 50 of 53 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 8 against TEN: 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Through Week 8, Jared Goff played 99 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 269 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 4 against CAR: 71 of 71 snaps, 32 of 52 passes for 412 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Jared Goff, Week 5 against ARI: 63 of 66 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 7 against GB: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 32 passes for 303 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 8 against MIN: 18 of 25 passes for 176 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jared Goff for Joe Burrow?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jared Goff projects 150 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 9 games) and Joe Burrow 154 (17.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over Jared Goff.

  • Should I drop Joe Burrow for Jared Goff?

    Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games) and Jared Goff 150 (16.7 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over Jared Goff.

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board