Tyler Shough or Joe Burrow: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Tyler Shough at 16.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 27th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Joe Burrow at 16.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 28th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tyler Shough: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 96th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 52.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Joe Burrow: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 101st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 12.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Tyler Shough has been on the field for 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 62 times and thrown 8.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 62 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against DET he completed 35 of 55 passes for 410 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 4 times for 8 yards.

Through Week 1, Joe Burrow has been on the field for 100 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 37 times and thrown 6.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 6 of 37 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against TB he completed 25 of 35 passes for 254 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 21 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tyler Shough played 11 games and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He threw for 2384 yards on 327 attempts with 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

That came to 29.7 attempts a game at 7.3 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Joe Burrow played 8 games and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He threw for 1809 yards on 259 attempts with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 32.4 attempts a game at 7.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Shough was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Joe Burrow scored 17.4 PPR points a game and Tyler Shough 14.9, 2.5 a game between them.

Tyler Shough finished QB26 that year and Joe Burrow QB29.

Tyler Shough had 68 more pass attempts than Joe Burrow, 327 to 259.

Tyler Shough had 575 more passing yards than Joe Burrow, 2384 to 1809.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Tyler Shough is off in Week 8 and Joe Burrow in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Joe Burrow is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.