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Should I start Nico Collins or Justice Hill in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 5:36 PM ET.

Nico Collins is the start on the latest market-based projection, 14.9 points to Justice Hill's 4.6, with Justice Hill on the market figure from his Week 6 game because his next market is not posted yet. This answer reorders when it is. What follows is how each has been used this season.

Should I drop Justice Hill for Nico Collins?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Nico Collins projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.4 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 27 (2.7 a game over 10 games).

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR12 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Market-based projection
14.9 pts a game

RB54 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs rush yds line 3-3

Market-based projection
4.6 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
159

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The gap

  • Board size314 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Nico Collins, and the board ranks him 34th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 159th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Nico Collins's market-based projection is 14.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 47th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 1.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 10 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Justice Hill's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Nico Collins has been on the field for 71 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 26 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 20 two minute targets.

His 30 targets have averaged 12.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against DAL he caught 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 5 against TEN he caught 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against JAX he carried 1 time for 5 yards, caught 3 of 5 targets for 74 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Justice Hill has been on the field for 42 percent of BAL snaps, taken 10 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 0 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have come 1.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against TEN he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 4 times for 73 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 0 times for 0 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Nico Collins played 15 games and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets.

That came to 8.0 targets a game, a 59 percent catch rate and 15.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Nico Collins was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Nico Collins scored 15.1 PPR points a game and Justice Hill 6.5, 8.6 a game between them.

Nico Collins finished WR8 and Justice Hill RB60, which are two different ladders.

Nico Collins is a wide receiver and Justice Hill a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Nico Collins is off in Week 8 and Justice Hill in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Justice Hill has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justice Hill for Nico Collins?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Nico Collins projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.4 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 27 (2.7 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Nico Collins for Justice Hill?

    No. Keep Nico Collins: he projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.4 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 27 (2.7 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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