Should I start Mike Evans or Justin Jefferson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 1:26 PM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.

Start Justin Jefferson: 67 percent of the snaps and 21 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Mike Evans's 54 percent of the snaps and 27 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Mike Evans?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Mike Evans projects 69 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.9 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games). Mike Evans is listed out.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

Mike Evans

WR5 · SF · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection: 16.1 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank: 11

Justin Jefferson

WR7 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Market-based projection: 15.6 pts a game

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The gap

Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Mike Evans, and the board ranks him 11th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 15th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

The market-based projections

No season market is posted for Mike Evans, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

Justin Jefferson's market-based projection is 15.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 19th highest figure of the 183 players with a market-based projection.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Mike Evans has been on the field for 55 percent of SF snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 19 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 2 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 39 targets have averaged 14.6 air yards.

In Week 4 against DEN he caught 5 of 8 targets for 76 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against SEA he caught 7 of 10 targets for 113 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against WAS he caught 3 of 5 targets for 94 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 74 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against TB he caught 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 1 time for -11 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Mike Evans played 8 games and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.

He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets.

That came to 7.6 targets a game, a 49 percent catch rate and 12.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson was available for 9 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Justin Jefferson scored 11.9 PPR points a game and Mike Evans 10.6, 1.3 a game between them.

Mike Evans finished WR76 that year and Justin Jefferson WR21.

Justin Jefferson had 80 more targets than Mike Evans, 141 to 61.

Justin Jefferson had 680 more receiving yards than Mike Evans, 1048 to 368.

This season Justin Jefferson holds the bigger snap share, 74 percent against 55 percent.

This season Justin Jefferson holds the bigger target share, 25 percent against 23 percent.

Byes and availability

Mike Evans is off in Week 8 and Justin Jefferson in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

Mike Evans is listed as out on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Mike Evans has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Mike Evans?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Mike Evans projects 69 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.9 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games). Mike Evans is listed out.
Should I drop Mike Evans for Justin Jefferson?
No. Keep Mike Evans: he projects 69 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.9 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games). Mike Evans is listed out.