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Should I start Justin Jefferson or Trey McBride in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 3:51 PM ET.

Start Trey McBride: 95 percent of the snaps and 27 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Justin Jefferson's 67 percent of the snaps and 21 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Trey McBride?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Trey McBride projects 169 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR7 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Market-based projection
15.7 pts a game

TE12 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection
16.6 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
88

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justin Jefferson, and the board ranks him 15th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 4; 2QB: ADP 15.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Trey McBride, and the board ranks him 88th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 31.

The market-based projections

Justin Jefferson's market-based projection is 15.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 9 market sources. That is the 18th highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Trey McBride is 3.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Trey McBride's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson has been on the field for 74 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CHI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against TB he caught 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 1 time for -11 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Trey McBride has been on the field for 91 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 18 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 4 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 13 of its 40 two minute targets.

His 65 targets have averaged 5.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against NYG he caught 7 of 12 targets for 31 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DET he caught 9 of 10 targets for 66 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against LAR he caught 7 of 9 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Justin Jefferson played 17 games and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Trey McBride played 17 games and scored 315.9 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing TE1.

He caught 126 of 169 targets for 1239 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 32 red zone targets.

That came to 9.9 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Trey McBride scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Justin Jefferson 11.9, 6.7 a game between them.

Justin Jefferson finished WR21 and Trey McBride TE1, which are two different ladders.

Justin Jefferson is a wide receiver and Trey McBride a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Justin Jefferson is off in Week 6 and Trey McBride in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Trey McBride has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Trey McBride?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Trey McBride projects 169 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games).

  • Should I drop Trey McBride for Justin Jefferson?

    No. Keep Trey McBride: he projects 169 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 10 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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