Should I start T.J. Hockenson or Kyle Pitts Sr. in Week 7?

The market-based projections

T.J. Hockenson's market-based projection is 9.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 88th highest figure of the 216 players with a market-based projection.

Kyle Pitts Sr.'s market-based projection is 8.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 98th highest figure of the 216 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on T.J. Hockenson, and the board ranks him 78th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyle Pitts Sr., and the board ranks him 98th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 5, T.J. Hockenson has been on the field for 60 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 27 targets have averaged 6.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against TB he caught 2 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against MIA he caught 13 of 13 targets for 119 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he caught 1 of 1 target for 7 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Kyle Pitts Sr. has been on the field for 59 percent of ATL snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 47 third down targets, had 2 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 6.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against NO he caught 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against BAL he caught 5 of 6 targets for 42 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against CHI he caught 5 of 7 targets for 60 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 T.J. Hockenson played 15 games and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.

He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 4.4 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 8.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 11 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Pitts Sr. was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Kyle Pitts Sr. scored 12.4 PPR points a game and T.J. Hockenson 7.5, 4.9 a game between them.

T.J. Hockenson finished TE26 that year and Kyle Pitts Sr. TE2.

Kyle Pitts Sr. had 52 more targets than T.J. Hockenson, 118 to 66.

Kyle Pitts Sr. had 490 more receiving yards than T.J. Hockenson, 928 to 438.

This season T.J. Hockenson holds the bigger snap share, 60 percent against 59 percent.

This season T.J. Hockenson holds the bigger target share, 21 percent against 14 percent.

Byes and availability

T.J. Hockenson is off in Week 6 and Kyle Pitts Sr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

T.J. Hockenson is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.