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Start T.J. Hockenson or Kyle Pitts Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 23, 2:51 PM ET.

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over T.J. Hockenson

Pitts projects lower, 8.6 to 10.0, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 84 for Pitts, 224 for Hockenson.

Start

TE · ATL · vs SF

Market projects
8.6
fantasy pts
SF D vs TE
9.3
4th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
90 of 100 at TE
Sit

TE · MIN · vs IND

Market projects
10.0
fantasy pts
IND D vs TE
13.3
15th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
69 of 100 at TE
Snap share
60%
Through Week 5
Target share
21%
Through Week 5

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Our Week 7 call

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over T.J. Hockenson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Kyle Pitts Sr. at 8.6 points and T.J. Hockenson at 10.0, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kyle Pitts Sr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 84 against 224, and that outweighs a gap this size.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 10.0 fantasy points for T.J. Hockenson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for T.J. Hockenson is 37 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (11, 9 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 8.6 fantasy points for Kyle Pitts Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kyle Pitts Sr. is 35 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (13, 10 and 13 market sources).

That puts T.J. Hockenson 1.4 points ahead of Kyle Pitts Sr. on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

T.J. Hockenson and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 13.3 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 44 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against IND.

Kyle Pitts Sr. and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 9.4 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 42 yards and no touchdowns a game against SF.

By points allowed to the position, T.J. Hockenson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

T.J. Hockenson is not on the injury report.

Kyle Pitts Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, T.J. Hockenson played 60 percent of MIN snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 2 against CHI: 36 of 52 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 29 yards.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 3 against TB: 50 of 59 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 4 against MIA: 65 of 78 snaps, 13 targets and 13 catches for 119 yards.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 5 against NO: 2 of 71 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, T.J. Hockenson played 15 games for MIN and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.

He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 224 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games for ATL and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 528 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against LAR: 49 of 53 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 3.6 PPR points.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against ARI: 67 of 77 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board