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Should I start Kyler Murray or Sam Darnold in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 12:21 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Kyler Murray: Listed Questionable (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)

Kyler Murray and Sam Darnold are too close to call on usage: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets against 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Sam Darnold for Kyler Murray?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Sam Darnold 122 (15.3 a game over 8 games). Kyler Murray is listed questionable.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

Kyler Murray

QB22 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs pass yds line 2-4

Market-based projection
17.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
140

Sam Darnold

QB24 · SEA · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 3-4

Market-based projection
15.8 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
147

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The gap

  • Board size302 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyler Murray, and the board ranks him 140th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 18.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Sam Darnold, and the board ranks him 147th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 26.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Kyler Murray is 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Sam Darnold is 1.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Kyler Murray's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Kyler Murray has been on the field for 86 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 184 times and thrown 7.7 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 27 of 184 dropbacks and scrambled 16 times.

In Week 5 against NO he completed 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 7 times for 54 yards.

In Week 7 against IND he completed 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 41 yards.

In Week 8 against DET he completed 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 36 yards.

Through Week 8, Sam Darnold has been on the field for 89 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 235 times and thrown 6.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 45 of 235 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 6 against DEN he completed 27 of 49 passes for 278 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 2 times for 19 yards.

In Week 7 against KC he completed 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 17 yards.

In Week 8 against CHI he completed 17 of 34 passes for 188 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Kyler Murray played 5 games and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He threw for 962 yards on 161 attempts with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 32.2 attempts a game at 6.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Sam Darnold played 17 games and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He threw for 4048 yards on 477 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 28.1 attempts a game at 9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Sam Darnold was available for 12 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Kyler Murray scored 16.2 PPR points a game and Sam Darnold 14.7, 1.5 a game between them.

Kyler Murray finished QB38 that year and Sam Darnold QB13.

Sam Darnold had 316 more pass attempts than Kyler Murray, 477 to 161.

Sam Darnold had 3086 more passing yards than Kyler Murray, 4048 to 962.

This season Sam Darnold holds the bigger snap share, 89 percent against 86 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Kyler Murray is off in Week 6 and Sam Darnold in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Kyler Murray is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Sam Darnold for Kyler Murray?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Kyler Murray projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Sam Darnold 122 (15.3 a game over 8 games). Kyler Murray is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Kyler Murray for Sam Darnold?

    No. Keep Kyler Murray: he projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Sam Darnold 122 (15.3 a game over 8 games). Kyler Murray is listed questionable.

Should I drop Kyler Murray?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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