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Start Patrick Mahomes or Kyler Murray? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 11:41 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Patrick Mahomes: Listed Questionable (Elbow) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Kyler Murray: Questionable to Out (Hamstring, Soreness) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Vikings to start QB Carson Wentz against Bills with Kyler Murray ruled out (ESPN)
Start

QB · KC · at ATL · Questionable

Market projects
18.0
recent weeks avg
ATL D vs QB
15.9
11th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
47 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9
Sit

QB · MIN · at GB · Out

Market projects
16.9
recent weeks avg
GB D vs QB
13.9
6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
86%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Kyler Murray for Patrick Mahomes?

Not on these numbers alone. Kyler Murray projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Patrick Mahomes 139 (17.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Kyler Murray. Kyler Murray is listed out. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Patrick Mahomes over Kyler Murray in Week 10.

Kyler Murray is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Patrick Mahomes. Drafters take Patrick Mahomes at ADP 107 and Kyler Murray at 139.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Kyler Murray yet. His market-based projections were 17.3, 17.6 and 15.9 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 16.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 16.0 and 21.9 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Patrick Mahomes 1.1 points ahead of Kyler Murray on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Kyler Murray and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 221 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against GB, with 1.3 interceptions a game.

Patrick Mahomes and KC visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 16.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Patrick Mahomes has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kyler Murray is listed as out with a hamstring injury.

Patrick Mahomes is listed as questionable with a elbow injury.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Kyler Murray played 86 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 184 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 5 against NO: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 54 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 7 against IND: 59 of 59 snaps, 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 41 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 8 against DET: 53 of 53 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 36 yards.

Through Week 9, Patrick Mahomes played 99 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 289 times and threw an average of 5.6 air yards per attempt.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 6 against LAC: 61 of 61 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 7 against SEA: 53 of 53 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 8 against DEN: 69 of 69 snaps, 30 of 41 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 9 against NYJ: 62 of 66 snaps, 23 of 31 passes for 242 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kyler Murray for Patrick Mahomes?

    Not on these numbers alone. Kyler Murray projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Patrick Mahomes 139 (17.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Kyler Murray. Kyler Murray is listed out. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Kyler Murray?

    Not on these numbers alone. Patrick Mahomes projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 8 games) and Kyler Murray 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Kyler Murray. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable. Kyler Murray is listed out.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board