DP World Tour, Jan 15-18, 2026
Dubai Invitational 2026 Results and Fantasy Golf Rankings
Nacho Elvira won the 2026 Dubai Invitational at -10, played Jan 15-18 at Dubai Creek Resort in Dubai, United Arab Emirates (par 71, 7,059 yards). Before the first round the model ranked him 37 of 60. Every finisher is listed below beside where the model ranked him.
Final results beside the model's ranking
Ratings as of Dec 21, 2025| Finish | Model rank | Golfer | Proj. finish | Form | Course | Recent finishes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | Nacho Elvira Spain | 32 | -0.24 | +0.081 start, best T28 | T46T3051T7T2 |
| 2 | 23 | Daniel Hillier New Zealand | 28 | +0.56 | -0.281 start, best T36 | T6T5T16T5T38 |
| T3 | 2 | Rory McIlroy Northern Ireland | 11 | +1.68 | +0.401 start, best T2 | T142T3T26T20 |
| T3 | 6 | Shane Lowry Ireland | 21 | +0.88 | debut | T11T12T3CUTT46 |
| T3 | 9 | David Puig Spain | 24 | +0.63 | debut | CUT1T9T50T11 |
| T3 | 22 | Julien Guerrier France | 27 | +0.11 | +0.211 start, best T14 | CUTT6CUTT50T16 |
| T7 | 5 | Thorbjørn Olesen Denmark | 21 | +0.58 | +0.321 start, best T8 | T28CUTT29T14T3 |
| T7 | 18 | Matt Wallace England | 26 | +0.40 | debut | T51CUTT31CUTT10 |
| T7 | 32 | Marcus Armitage England | 31 | +0.31 | -0.331 start, best T43 | T15T40T21T42T23 |
| T10 | 7 | Thriston Lawrence South Africa | 22 | +0.11 | +0.711 start, best T2 | T14T33T24T62CUT |
| T10 | 38 | Antoine Rozner France | 32 | -0.06 | -0.101 start, best T32 | T14T46T25T58CUT |
| T10 | 55 | Dylan Frittelli South Africa | 40 | -0.84 | debut | T37T14T59CUTT65 |
| T13 | 8 | Angel Ayora Spain | 22 | +0.78 | debut | T21T46T8T8T9 |
| T13 | 51 | Marcel Siem Germany | 37 | -0.57 | -0.051 start, best T36 | T37T5662CUTCUT |
| T15 | 13 | Oliver Lindell Finland | 25 | +0.49 | debut | T32T46T40T28T41 |
| T15 | 19 | Eugenio Chacarra Spain | 27 | +0.36 | debut | T253T28T37T39 |
| T15 | 35 | Adrian Otaegui United Arab Emirates | 31 | -0.29 | +0.241 start, best T20 | T42T40CUTT61CUT |
| T15 | 47 | Jacques Kruyswijk South Africa | 36 | -0.48 | debut | CUTT46T3770T30 |
| 19 | 4 | Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen Denmark | 20 | +0.97 | debut | 1CUTT3T23T65 |
| T20 | 3 | Jayden Schaper South Africa | 20 | +1.03 | debut | 11T2T20T23 |
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| Finish | Model rank | Golfer | Proj. finish | Form | Course | Recent finishes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T20 | 11 | Joost Luiten Netherlands | 24 | +0.45 | +0.141 start, best T14 | CUTT1048T41T14 |
| T20 | 12 | Ewen Ferguson Scotland | 25 | +0.26 | +0.281 start, best T11 | T10T28T49T42T35 |
| T20 | 20 | Shaun Norris South Africa | 27 | +0.35 | debut | 255061CUT |
| T20 | 30 | Grant Forrest Scotland | 31 | +0.01 | -0.021 start, best T30 | CUTT23T2838CUT |
| 25 | 1 | Tommy Fleetwood England | 11 | +1.64 | +0.461 start, best a win | T321T21T46 |
| 26 | 14 | Patrick Reed USA | 25 | +0.49 | debut | T28T49T16T32T3 |
| T27 | 15 | Ryan Fox New Zealand | 25 | +0.32 | +0.171 start, best T14 | T14T39T14T4643 |
| T27 | 26 | Joakim Lagergren Sweden | 29 | +0.11 | debut | T32T33T37T62T50 |
| T27 | 52 | Paul Waring England | 38 | -0.67 | debut | 57CUTCUTCUTT47 |
| T30 | 24 | Jacob Skov Olesen Denmark | 28 | +0.21 | debut | CUTT40T40T11T23 |
| T30 | 28 | Dan Bradbury England | 30 | +0.13 | -0.041 start, best T30 | T62T2T13T30T133 |
| T30 | 46 | Connor Syme Scotland | 36 | -0.32 | -0.151 start, best T40 | 5147T32T60CUT |
| T33 | 27 | Guido Migliozzi Italy | 29 | -0.22 | +0.331 start, best 13 | CUT52T30CUTCUT |
| T33 | 31 | Niklas Nørgaard Denmark | 31 | -0.01 | debut | T53T41T14CUTCUT |
| T33 | 36 | Frederic LaCroix France | 32 | -0.09 | debut | T46CUTT26T27CUT |
| T33 | 50 | Junghwan Lee South Korea | 37 | -0.59 | debut | T68T23711CUT |
| T33 | 58 | 44 | -1.25 | debut | CUTT68T3369CUT | |
| T38 | 10 | Tom McKibbin Northern Ireland | 24 | +0.64 | -0.041 start, best T25 | T16T16664T15 |
| T38 | 39 | Matteo Manassero Italy | 33 | -0.23 | debut | T43T61CUTCUTCUT |
| T38 | 49 | Angel Hidalgo Spain | 37 | -0.57 | debut | CUTT46CUTCUTCUT |
| T38 | 60 | Daniel Gavins England | 55 | -2.63 | -0.241 start, best 58 | 65CUTCUTCUTCUT |
| T42 | 29 | Martin Couvra France | 30 | +0.06 | debut | T7T3052T23T60 |
| T42 | 34 | Alejandro Del Rey Spain | 31 | -0.03 | debut | T40T23T17T50T62 |
| T42 | 43 | Darius Van Driel Netherlands | 35 | -0.38 | debut | T46T5360CUTT36 |
| 45 | 54 | Danny Willett England | 40 | -0.83 | debut | CUT60CUTT123T66 |
| 46 | 56 | Padraig Harrington Ireland | 40 | -0.92 | debut | T71CUTCUTCUTT71 |
| T47 | 21 | Francesco Molinari Italy | 27 | -0.31 | +0.651 start, best 5 | T10T34T27T42CUT |
| T47 | 33 | Calum Hill Scotland | 31 | +0.12 | -0.141 start, best T32 | T32T40T34T17T21 |
| T47 | 42 | Nicolai von Dellingshausen Germany | 34 | -0.35 | debut | T63T2259T42T50 |
| T47 | 45 | Yuto Katsuragawa Japan | 35 | -0.44 | debut | CUTT46T66T4T54 |
| T47 | 48 | Rikuya Hoshino Japan | 36 | -0.48 | debut | 56CUT87472 |
| T52 | 16 | Nicolai Højgaard Denmark | 25 | +0.50 | -0.021 start, best T25 | T11T3T14CUTCUT |
| T52 | 17 | Andy Sullivan England | 26 | +0.44 | debut | T8T34T7T4T15 |
| T54 | 40 | 33 | -0.26 | debut | T63T24T49T30CUT | |
| T54 | 41 | Pablo Larrazábal Spain | 34 | -0.62 | +0.311 start, best T20 | T75T33CUTT36CUT |
| 56 | 59 | Ockie Strydom South Africa | 46 | -1.59 | +0.101 start, best T40 | T32T59CUTCUTCUT |
| 57 | 44 | David Ravetto France | 35 | -0.43 | debut | CUTT56T43T54T17 |
| 58 | 57 | Dylan Naidoo South Africa | 43 | -1.21 | debut | 62CUT58T62CUT |
| CUT | 25 | Richard Mansell England | 29 | -0.06 | +0.251 start, best T14 | T3049T5CUTCUT |
| CUT | 53 | Ashun Wu China | 39 | -0.50 | -0.271 start, best T48 | CUTCUTCUTT14T40 |
Course profile
- Course
- Dubai Creek Resort
- Where
- Dubai, United Arab Emirates
- Par
- 71
- Length
- 7,059 yards
- Purse
- $2.75M
- Format
- 4 rounds, no cut
- Defending champion
- Tommy Fleetwood
Past winners and scoring
| Year | Winner | Score | Field avg. | Course |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Nacho Elvira | -10 | 71.55 (+0.55) | Dubai Creek Resort, par 71, 7,059 yds |
| 2024 | Tommy Fleetwood | -19 | 70.38 (-0.62) | Dubai Creek Resort, par 71, 7,059 yds |
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Around this week
How the ranking works
Each round is scored against how hard that round played: its difficulty is fitted from every score in it and the skill of the golfers who posted them, so beating a weekend field of cut survivors, or a PGA Tour field rather than a weaker one, counts for more. Zero is an average PGA Tour round. A golfer's form rating is his average against that difficulty over the last 2 years, with a round 180 days old counting half as much as a new one, blended with 12 rounds at -1.0 so a handful of good days cannot top the board. Course history is how much better or worse he has played at this tournament than his own rating, shrunk as if he had 16 more average rounds there. The ranking is form plus course history. The projected finish treats every round as his rating plus or minus 2.9 strokes and counts how many of the field he would be expected to beat. ESPN publishes no strokes-gained data, so none is used.
- Window
- 730 days of rounds
- Half-life
- 180 days
- Prior
- 12 rounds at -1.0
- Course history shrink
- 16 rounds
- Round spread
- 2.9 strokes
- Rounds fitted
- 93,497 rounds, 2,201 golfers
- Tour field gap
- PGA Tour fields 0.42 strokes a round stronger than DP World Tour fields
By the Parlae deskRankings updated Oct 14, 2026 at 8:13 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number