Skip to main content
parlae.ioBeta
Sign in

Dubai Invitational 2026 Results and Fantasy Golf Rankings

Nacho Elvira won the 2026 Dubai Invitational at -10, played Jan 15-18 at Dubai Creek Resort in Dubai, United Arab Emirates (par 71, 7,059 yards). Before the first round the model ranked him 37 of 60. Every finisher is listed below beside where the model ranked him.

Final results beside the model's ranking

Ratings as of Dec 21, 2025
FinishModel rankGolferProj. finishFormCourseRecent finishes
13732-0.24+0.081 start, best T28T46T3051T7T2
223
Daniel Hillier
New Zealand
28+0.56-0.281 start, best T36T6T5T16T5T38
T32
Rory McIlroy
Northern Ireland
11+1.68+0.401 start, best T2T142T3T26T20
T36
21+0.88debutT11T12T3CUTT46
T39
24+0.63debutCUT1T9T50T11
T32227+0.11+0.211 start, best T14CUTT6CUTT50T16
T7521+0.58+0.321 start, best T8T28CUTT29T14T3
T718
26+0.40debutT51CUTT31CUTT10
T73231+0.31-0.331 start, best T43T15T40T21T42T23
T107
Thriston Lawrence
South Africa
22+0.11+0.711 start, best T2T14T33T24T62CUT
T103832-0.06-0.101 start, best T32T14T46T25T58CUT
T1055
Dylan Frittelli
South Africa
40-0.84debutT37T14T59CUTT65
T13822+0.78debutT21T46T8T8T9
T1351
37-0.57-0.051 start, best T36T37T5662CUTCUT
T151325+0.49debutT32T46T40T28T41
T151927+0.36debutT253T28T37T39
T1535
Adrian Otaegui
United Arab Emirates
31-0.29+0.241 start, best T20T42T40CUTT61CUT
T1547
Jacques Kruyswijk
South Africa
36-0.48debutCUTT46T3770T30
19420+0.97debut1CUTT3T23T65
T203
Jayden Schaper
South Africa
20+1.03debut11T2T20T23

Advertisement

FinishModel rankGolferProj. finishFormCourseRecent finishes
T2011
Joost Luiten
Netherlands
24+0.45+0.141 start, best T14CUTT1048T41T14
T2012
25+0.26+0.281 start, best T11T10T28T49T42T35
T2020
Shaun Norris
South Africa
27+0.35debut255061CUT
T2030
31+0.01-0.021 start, best T30CUTT23T2838CUT
25111+1.64+0.461 start, best a winT321T21T46
261425+0.49debutT28T49T16T32T3
T2715
Ryan Fox
New Zealand
25+0.32+0.171 start, best T14T14T39T14T4643
T272629+0.11debutT32T33T37T62T50
T2752
38-0.67debut57CUTCUTCUTT47
T302428+0.21debutCUTT40T40T11T23
T3028
30+0.13-0.041 start, best T30T62T2T13T30T133
T3046
Connor Syme
Scotland
36-0.32-0.151 start, best T405147T32T60CUT
T332729-0.22+0.331 start, best 13CUT52T30CUTCUT
T333131-0.01debutT53T41T14CUTCUT
T333632-0.09debutT46CUTT26T27CUT
T3350
Junghwan Lee
South Korea
37-0.59debutT68T23711CUT
T335844-1.25debutCUTT68T3369CUT
T3810
Tom McKibbin
Northern Ireland
24+0.64-0.041 start, best T25T16T16664T15
T383933-0.23debutT43T61CUTCUTCUT
T384937-0.57debutCUTT46CUTCUTCUT
T3860
55-2.63-0.241 start, best 5865CUTCUTCUTCUT
T422930+0.06debutT7T3052T23T60
T423431-0.03debutT40T23T17T50T62
T4243
Darius Van Driel
Netherlands
35-0.38debutT46T5360CUTT36
4554
40-0.83debutCUT60CUTT123T66
465640-0.92debutT71CUTCUTCUTT71
T472127-0.31+0.651 start, best 5T10T34T27T42CUT
T4733
Calum Hill
Scotland
31+0.12-0.141 start, best T32T32T40T34T17T21
T474234-0.35debutT63T2259T42T50
T474535-0.44debutCUTT46T66T4T54
T474836-0.48debut56CUT87472
T521625+0.50-0.021 start, best T25T11T3T14CUTCUT
T5217
26+0.44debutT8T34T7T4T15
T544033-0.26debutT63T24T49T30CUT
T544134-0.62+0.311 start, best T20T75T33CUTT36CUT
5659
Ockie Strydom
South Africa
46-1.59+0.101 start, best T40T32T59CUTCUTCUT
574435-0.43debutCUTT56T43T54T17
5857
Dylan Naidoo
South Africa
43-1.21debut62CUT58T62CUT
CUT2529-0.06+0.251 start, best T14T3049T5CUTCUT
CUT53
39-0.50-0.271 start, best T48CUTCUTCUTT14T40

Course profile

Course
Dubai Creek Resort
Where
Dubai, United Arab Emirates
Par
71
Length
7,059 yards
Purse
$2.75M
Format
4 rounds, no cut
Defending champion
Tommy Fleetwood

Past winners and scoring

YearWinnerScoreField avg.Course
2026Nacho Elvira-1071.55 (+0.55)Dubai Creek Resort, par 71, 7,059 yds
2024Tommy Fleetwood-1970.38 (-0.62)Dubai Creek Resort, par 71, 7,059 yds

Advertisement

How the ranking works

Each round is scored against how hard that round played: its difficulty is fitted from every score in it and the skill of the golfers who posted them, so beating a weekend field of cut survivors, or a PGA Tour field rather than a weaker one, counts for more. Zero is an average PGA Tour round. A golfer's form rating is his average against that difficulty over the last 2 years, with a round 180 days old counting half as much as a new one, blended with 12 rounds at -1.0 so a handful of good days cannot top the board. Course history is how much better or worse he has played at this tournament than his own rating, shrunk as if he had 16 more average rounds there. The ranking is form plus course history. The projected finish treats every round as his rating plus or minus 2.9 strokes and counts how many of the field he would be expected to beat. ESPN publishes no strokes-gained data, so none is used.

Window
730 days of rounds
Half-life
180 days
Prior
12 rounds at -1.0
Course history shrink
16 rounds
Round spread
2.9 strokes
Rounds fitted
93,497 rounds, 2,201 golfers
Tour field gap
PGA Tour fields 0.42 strokes a round stronger than DP World Tour fields

By the Parlae deskRankings updated Oct 14, 2026 at 8:13 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number