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Hero Dubai Desert Classic 2026 Results and Fantasy Golf Rankings

Patrick Reed won the 2026 Hero Dubai Desert Classic at -14, played Jan 22-25 at Emirates Golf Club in Dubai, United Arab Emirates (par 72, 7,439 yards). Before the first round the model ranked him 11 of 126. The 2027 edition is Jan 21-24, and this page ranks its field when it is posted.

Final results beside the model's ranking

Ratings as of Jan 18, 2026
FinishModel rankGolferProj. finishFormCourseRecent finishes
11142+0.44+0.361 start, best T1026T28T49T16T32
246
60+0.28-0.272 starts, best T58T52T8T34T7T4
33556+0.24-0.092 starts, best T21T3CUTT6CUTT50
T48
Jayden Schaper
South Africa
39+0.99-0.052 starts, best T21T2011T2T20
T41748+0.30+0.222 starts, best T7T52T11T3T14CUT
T48671-0.43-0.031 start, best a missed cutT47T10T34T27T42
T710
42+0.81debutT3CUT1T9T50
T73958+0.40-0.312 starts, best T31T7T15T40T21T42
T777
67-0.50+0.192 starts, best T14CUTT8CUTCUTT62
T101343+0.63+0.112 starts, best T21T7T28CUTT29T14
T104760-0.01debutT42T7T3052T23
T1096
Darius Van Driel
Netherlands
74-0.42-0.171 start, best a missed cutT42T46T5360CUT
T10107
Christiaan Maas
South Africa, few rounds
78-0.77debutT4CUTT25CUT
T141948+0.87-0.361 start, best a missed cutT23T6T512T7
T1426
53+0.29debutT6T7T35T42T46
T144459-0.42+0.462 starts, best T16T54T63T24T49T30
T147065-0.08-0.152 starts, best a missed cutT48T64T23T4T17
T149573-0.57-0.011 start, best a missed cutT4756CUT874
T195
Tom McKibbin
Northern Ireland
36+0.51+0.572 starts, best T6T38T16T16664
T1929
54+0.24debutT182CUTT21T56

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FinishModel rankGolferProj. finishFormCourseRecent finishes
T193657+0.140.002 starts, best T16T37T65T19T41T21
T194860-0.18+0.171 start, best T31T23CUTT62T14T61
T1953
Jacques Kruyswijk
South Africa
61-0.37+0.321 start, best T21T15CUTT46T3770
T196262+0.20-0.292 starts, best T56T23T23T37T56T14
T1987
Hennie Du Plessis
South Africa
71-0.56+0.101 start, best T51T25T64T51CUTT27
T266
Daniel Hillier
New Zealand
38+0.66+0.352 starts, best 22T6T5T16T5
T267
39+0.95debutT3T11T12T3CUT
T261242+0.80debutT13T21T46T8T8
T261848+0.52debutT15T32T46T40T28
T2673
Zander Lombard
South Africa
66-0.66+0.421 start, best T16T5T62CUTT32CUT
T267867-0.10-0.212 starts, best T38T42T40T23T17T50
T269974-0.58-0.042 starts, best T68T38CUTT46CUTCUT
T331
Rory McIlroy
Northern Ireland
18+1.68+0.552 starts, best a winT3T142T3T26
T33331+0.89+0.442 starts, best a winT14T412T5T42
T3331
55+0.27-0.052 starts, best 16T20T10T28T49T42
T333857-0.11+0.232 starts, best T25T75T59T41CUTCUT
T3357
JC Ritchie
South Africa
62-0.07debutT9T32CUTT33CUT
T335962+0.11-0.192 starts, best T52T37T23T56T17T39
T338570-0.44debutT47T63T2259T42
T339874-0.36-0.242 starts, best a missed cutT30CUTCUTCUTT55
T41228+1.54-0.032 starts, best T1425T321T21
T4165
63+0.09-0.232 starts, best T52T30T62T2T13T30
T418369-0.68+0.281 start, best T31CUTCUTCUTT55CUT
T4192
73+0.05-0.612 starts, best T51T20CUTT23T2838
T45434+0.94+0.261 start, best T10191CUTT3T23
T4514
Ryan Fox
New Zealand
45+0.28+0.392 starts, best T10T27T14T39T14T46
T4516
46+0.16+0.442 starts, best 3CUTT3T23T2CUT
T454259+0.06debutT44T14T41T7T47
T4937
57-0.15+0.292 starts, best T21CUTCUTT47T83T32
T4967
64-0.82+0.661 start, best T8CUTCUTT70CUTT65
T4968
Joel Girrbach
Switzerland
64-0.35+0.171 start, best T37T14T51CUTT39T21
T4981
69+0.07-0.452 starts, best T70T39T56T49T42T40
T4989
71-0.48debutCUTT41T17CUTT15
T4910275-0.54-0.101 start, best a missed cutT47CUTT46T66T4
T4910677-0.46-0.301 start, best a missed cut43CUTT56CUTT21
T5615
Joost Luiten
Netherlands
45+0.45+0.212 starts, best T21T20CUTT1048T41
T5643
Casey Jarvis
South Africa
59-0.08+0.142 starts, best T373T32T54T17CUT
T5650
Michael Hollick
South Africa
61-0.03debutT9T94CUTT152
T567967-0.12-0.201 start, best a missed cutT33T46CUTT26T27
T56118
84-0.57-0.502 starts, best a missed cutCUTCUTCUTCUTT14
T617667-1.09+0.792 starts, best 255T113CUTCUTCUT
T618068-0.13-0.202 starts, best T41T7T46T49CUTT40
T6190
71-0.10-0.381 start, best T77CUTCUTT10T47T133
T6433
56+0.17debutCUTT21T47T11T32
T6451
Dylan Frittelli
South Africa
61-0.67+0.632 starts, best T10T10T37T14T59CUT
T64121
88-0.82-0.452 starts, best a missed cutCUTCUTCUTT46T65
6763
62-0.10debutT32T32CUTCUTCUT
68116
84-0.46-0.582 starts, best T65CUTCUTCUTT17T30
6911583-1.030.002 starts, best T6872CUTCUTCUTT71
7074
66-0.04-0.222 starts, best T66T54T23CUT22T83
CUT9
Shaun Norris
South Africa
41+0.36+0.481 start, best T6T20255061
CUT2051-0.16+0.571 start, best T4CUTCUTT55T20CUT
CUT2151+0.40debutT15T253T28T37
CUT2251-0.25+0.652 starts, best T8T33CUT52T30CUT
CUT2351-0.05+0.422 starts, best T4T33T53T41T14CUT
CUT2452+0.26+0.101 start, best T31T25CUTT32T14T47
CUT2553+0.03+0.281 start, best T16T10T14T46T25T58
CUT27
Elvis Smylie
Australia
53+0.43-0.141 start, best T58T8T19T42T32CUT
CUT28
Calum Hill
Scotland
53+0.01+0.272 starts, best T17T47T32T40T34T17
CUT3055+0.05+0.182 starts, best T27T45T15CUTT47T32
CUT3256-0.09+0.272 starts, best T21T23T10CUTT17T16
CUT3456+0.17debutT30CUTT40T40T11
CUT4058+0.09debutCUTT32T34T49T15
CUT4158+0.09debutT27T32T33T37T62
CUT45
59-0.05+0.092 starts, best T37CUTCUT67CUTT16
CUT49
Brandon Stone
South Africa
60+0.23-0.241 start, best a missed cutT9T23CUTCUTT71
CUT52
61-0.04debutCUTT4668T30T11
CUT54
Connor Syme
Scotland
61-0.31+0.262 starts, best T27T305147T32T60
CUT55
Richard Sterne
South Africa
61-0.05debutCUTCUTT12T14T46
CUT56
61+0.21-0.262 starts, best T52T25T30T14T50T13
CUT5862-0.08+0.012 starts, best T411T46T3051T7
CUT6062-0.35+0.272 starts, best T31CUTCUTCUTT99T46
CUT61
Thriston Lawrence
South Africa
62+0.17-0.252 starts, best a missed cutT10T14T33T24T62
CUT64
Kazuma Kobori
New Zealand
62-0.11debutCUTT25T42T41CUT
CUT66
63-0.36+0.212 starts, best T21T46T4173T6373
CUT6964-0.24+0.051 start, best T52T30T66T14CUTCUT
CUT71
65-0.23debutT25CUTT23T56T46
CUT72
Adrian Otaegui
United Arab Emirates
65-0.20-0.032 starts, best T56T15T42T40CUTT61
CUT75
66-0.32+0.042 starts, best T31T9CUTT21CUTCUT
CUT82
69-0.44+0.052 starts, best T56T13T37T5662CUT
CUT8470-0.90+0.481 start, best T17T3974T765CUT
CUT8871-0.63+0.171 start, best T4557CUTT56T43T54
CUT9171-0.27-0.211 start, best a missed cutT38T43T61CUTCUT
CUT9373-0.77+0.202 starts, best T4T54T75T33CUTT36
CUT94
Junghwan Lee
South Korea
73-0.57debutT33T68T23711
CUT9774-0.59debutT71T23CUTCUTCUT
CUT100
74-0.60-0.022 starts, best T41T2757CUTCUTCUT
CUT10174-0.84+0.222 starts, best T16T32CUTT56CUTT56
CUT103
Joe Dean
England
75-0.61-0.031 start, best T68CUTCUTT49T42CUT
CUT10476-0.79+0.091 start, best T56T23T69T33CUTCUT
CUT10576-0.71debutCUTCUTT60T40CUT
CUT108
Darren Fichardt
South Africa
78-0.76-0.021 start, best a missed cutCUTT5072T49T5
CUT10979-0.84debutCUTCUTT53T42T22
CUT110
80-0.86debut45CUT60CUTT123
CUT111
David Law
Scotland
80-0.52-0.351 start, best a missed cutCUTT51T41T42CUT
CUT11282-0.95debutT44CUTCUTCUTCUT
CUT11383-1.00debutCUTCUTT64CUTT41
CUT11483-0.48-0.522 starts, best a missed cutT58CUTT38CUTT32
CUT117
Ethan Fang
USA, few rounds
84-1.06debutCUTCUT
CUT119
Ahmad Skaik
United Arab Emirates, few rounds
84-1.08debutCUT
CUT120
Yuvraj Sandhu
India, few rounds
86-1.15debutCUTCUTCUT
CUT12289-0.98-0.322 starts, best a missed cut46T71CUTCUTCUT
CUT12390-1.19-0.141 start, best a missed cutT33CUTT68T3369
CUT124
Dylan Naidoo
South Africa
92-1.47debut5862CUT58T62
CUT125
Ockie Strydom
South Africa
104-1.73-0.392 starts, best a missed cut56T32T59CUTCUT
CUT126
112-2.26-0.452 starts, best T74T3865CUTCUTCUT

Course profile

Course
Emirates Golf Club
Where
Dubai, United Arab Emirates
Par
72
Length
7,439 yards
Purse
$9.00M
Format
4 rounds, cut after round 2
Defending champion
Tyrrell Hatton

Past winners and scoring

YearWinnerScoreField avg.Course
2026Patrick Reed-1472.52 (+0.52)Emirates Golf Club, par 72, 7,439 yds
2025Tyrrell Hatton-1571.93 (-0.07)Emirates Golf Club, par 72, 7,439 yds
2024Rory McIlroy-1472.21 (+0.21)Emirates Golf Club, par 72, 7,428 yds

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How the ranking works

Each round is scored against how hard that round played: its difficulty is fitted from every score in it and the skill of the golfers who posted them, so beating a weekend field of cut survivors, or a PGA Tour field rather than a weaker one, counts for more. Zero is an average PGA Tour round. A golfer's form rating is his average against that difficulty over the last 2 years, with a round 180 days old counting half as much as a new one, blended with 12 rounds at -1.0 so a handful of good days cannot top the board. Course history is how much better or worse he has played at this tournament than his own rating, shrunk as if he had 16 more average rounds there. The ranking is form plus course history. The projected finish treats every round as his rating plus or minus 2.9 strokes and counts how many of the field he would be expected to beat. ESPN publishes no strokes-gained data, so none is used.

Window
730 days of rounds
Half-life
180 days
Prior
12 rounds at -1.0
Course history shrink
16 rounds
Round spread
2.9 strokes
Rounds fitted
93,497 rounds, 2,201 golfers
Tour field gap
PGA Tour fields 0.42 strokes a round stronger than DP World Tour fields

By the Parlae deskRankings updated Oct 14, 2026 at 8:13 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number