NBA fantasy projections tonight, Wed Oct 21

Projected fantasy points tonight

Player	Game	Min	Fantasy pts	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
Luka Dončić PGLAL	vs GSW10:00 PM ET	35.8	53.5	30-3132-33	7.77-8	7-87-8	3.63-4
Jalen Johnson PF/SFATL	at ORL7:00 PM ET	37.5	52.4	24-2520-21	11.110-11	8.67-8	1.81-2
Stephen Curry PGGSWGTD	at LAL10:00 PM ET	40.0	50.6	34.124-25	4.63-4	6.14-5	5.74-5
Giannis Antetokounmpo PFMIA	vs MIN7:30 PM ET	28.9	49.0	27.228-29	1011-12	5.47-8	0.4
Anthony Edwards SG/PGMIN	at MIA7:30 PM ET	40.0	49.0	31.827-28	5.85-6	4.13-4	3.73-4
Josh Giddey PG/SGCHI	at TOR7:30 PM ET	37.5	48.9	2013-14	9.86-7	10.88-9	2.21-2
Cooper Flagg SG/PG/SFDAL	at HOU8:30 PM ET	40.0	48.8	26.221-22	7.96-7	5.65-6	1.31-2
Anthony Davis C/PFWAS	vs MIL7:00 PM ET	34.8	48.3	22.121-22	12.311-12	32-3	0-10-1
Kawhi Leonard SF/SGTOR	vs CHI7:30 PM ET	32.1	46.0	2825-26	6.46-7	3.63-4	2.72-3
Deni Avdija PF/SG/SFPORGTD	vs PHX10:00 PM ET	38.2	46.0	25.722-23	7.96-7	7.14-5	21-2
Brandon Miller SF/SG/PFCHA	at BKN7:30 PM ET	40.0	46.0	28.324-25	6.35-6	4.73-4	4.43-4
Paolo Banchero PFORL	vs ATL7:00 PM ET	40.0	44.8	2422-23	9.88-9	5.65-6	1.31-2
Pascal Siakam PF/CIND	at NOP8:00 PM ET	37.1	44.4	26.620-21	7-86-7	4.23-4	1.91-2
Alperen Şengün C/PFHOU	vs DAL8:30 PM ET	33.3	43.7	20.319-20	8.98-9	6.24-5	0.6
Darius Garland PGLAC	vs SAC10:30 PM ET	38.4	43.6	25.923-24	33-4	9.28-9	3.72-3
Scottie Barnes PF/SFTOR	vs CHI7:30 PM ET	33.5	42.2	18.118-19	7.67-8	5.95-6	0.90-1
Kevin Durant SF/PFHOU	vs DAL8:30 PM ET	36.4	41.5	25.923-24	5.45-6	4.74-5	2.42-3
Lauri Markkanen PF/SFUTA	at MEM8:00 PM ET	37.4	41.2	25.721-22	7.76-7	22-3	2.62-3
Andrew Nembhard PG/SGIND	at NOP8:00 PM ET	40.0	41.2	21-2213-14	3.62-3	9.75-6	2.41-2
Bam Adebayo C/PFMIA	vs MIN7:30 PM ET	32.4	40.9	19.816-17	10.39-10	3.12-3	1.71-2
Grayson Allen SF/SGCHA	at BKN7:30 PM ET	38.3	40.2	23.314-15	42-3	5.43-4	4.42-3
Alex Sarr C/PFWAS	vs MIL7:00 PM ET	30.2	39.4	17.713-14	8.26-7	2.92-3	1.11-2
Amen Thompson SG/PG/SFHOU	vs DAL8:30 PM ET	37.4	39.3	18.217-18	7.77-8	5.34-5	0.3
LaMelo Ball PGMIN	at MIA7:30 PM ET	29.6	39.3	20-2119-20	5.24-5	7.37-8	3.93-4
Devin Booker SG/PGPHX	at POR10:00 PM ET	35.4	39.2	25-2624-25	4.14-5	5.96-7	1.91-2
Jaren Jackson C/PFUTA	at MEM8:00 PM ET	37.0	39.2	20.918-19	7.16-7	2.12-3	1.91-2
Naz Reid C/PFCHA	at BKN7:30 PM ET	34.7	39.1	19.217-18	8.16-7	3.12-3	32-3
Donovan Clingan CPOR	vs PHX10:00 PM ET	31.2	38.4	12.910-11	13.211-12	2.21-2	1.20-1
Franz Wagner SF/PFORL	vs ATL7:00 PM ET	35.4	38.2	22.821-22	6.25-6	3.75-6	1.61-2
Ja Morant PG/SGPOR	vs PHX10:00 PM ET	32.6	38.1	20.717-18	3.72-3	8-94-5	1.11-2
Michael Porter SF/PFBKN	vs CHA7:30 PM ET	32.5	37.9	23.721-22	6.96-7	32-3	3.33-4
Desmond Bane SG/PGORL	vs ATL7:00 PM ET	39.7	37.9	22.217-18	4.94-5	4.63-4	2.32-3
Keyonte George PG/SGUTA	at MEM8:00 PM ET	36.0	37.4	22.720-21	4.13-4	5.96-7	2.42-3
Norman Powell SF/SGCHI	at TOR7:30 PM ET	34.7	37.3	25.618-19	4.12-3	2.91-2	3.22-3
Julius Randle PF/CBKN	vs CHA7:30 PM ET	33.0	37.1	20.618-19	6.66-7	4.94-5	1.31-2
Nikola Vučević CORL	vs ATL7:00 PM ET	33.5	37.1	16.78-9	104-5	3.71-2	1.7
P.J. Washington PF/SF/CDAL	at HOU8:30 PM ET	37.7	36.9	1813-14	8-95-6	2.21-2	1.71-2
Onyeka Okongwu CATL	at ORL7:00 PM ET	33.1	36.7	16-1713-14	8.27-8	3.42-3	2.11-2
Trey Murphy SG/SFNOP	vs IND8:00 PM ET	35.5	36.4	20.320-21	5.85-6	3.63-4	3.12-3
Matas Buzelis PF/SFCHI	at TOR7:30 PM ET	34.2	36.4	19.116-17	6.95-6	2.41-2	2.62-3
Austin Reaves SG/PGLAL	vs GSW10:00 PM ET	34.5	35.8	21.223-24	4.74-5	55-6	2.12-3
Dyson Daniels SG/SFATL	at ORL7:00 PM ET	34.0	35.8	12.410-11	7.16-7	6.25-6	0.30-1
Ivica Zubac CIND	at NOP8:00 PM ET	33.7	35.7	15.715-16	1211-12	2.42-3	0
Jalen Suggs PGORL	vs ATL7:00 PM ET	32.6	35.7	15.313-14	4.63-4	6.14-5	2.42-3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker SG/PGATL	at ORL7:00 PM ET	34.2	35.5	21.918-19	3.63-4	3.93-4	3.42-3
Keegan Murray PF/SFSAC	at LAC10:30 PM ET	40.0	35.1	16.712-13	6.64-5	2	1.61-2
Rudy Gobert CMIN	at MIA7:30 PM ET	33.1	34.9	11.19-10	12.411-12	1.7	0
Naji Marshall SF/SG/PFDAL	at HOU8:30 PM ET	35.9	34.7	19.311-12	5.73-4	4.13-4	1.10-1
Brandon Williams PGGSW	at LAL10:00 PM ET	32.2	34.4	18.710-11	4.22-3	5.62-3	0.80-1
Ryan Rollins PGMIL	at WAS7:00 PM ET	32.1	34.2	17.316-17	4.64-5	5.65-6	2-32-3
De'Anthony Melton SG/PGGSW	at LAL10:00 PM ET	33.0	34.0	17-1813-14	4.63-4	3.62-3	2.11-2
Jrue Holiday PG/SGPOR	vs PHX10:00 PM ET	33.7	33.9	17.312-13	5.34-5	6-74-5	2.71-2
Kelly Oubre PF/SFIND	at NOP8:00 PM ET	40.0	33.9	17.812-13	6-74-5	2	2.21-2
Zion Williamson PF/SFNOP	vs IND8:00 PM ET	29.7	33.8	19.820-21	5.85-6	33-4	0
Tyler Herro SG/PGMIL	at WAS7:00 PM ET	31.3	33.7	20-2121-22	4.84-5	4.14-5	2-32-3
Draymond Green PF/CGSW	at LAL10:00 PM ET	37.5	33.7	11.37-8	7-85-6	7-85-6	21-2
Kyshawn George SF/SGWAS	vs MIL7:00 PM ET	32.2	33.5	16.113-14	5.74-5	4.93-4	2.22-3
Tre Jones SG/PG/SFCHI	at TOR7:30 PM ET	31.6	33.5	16.69-10	3.72-3	6.34-5	0.70-1
Immanuel Quickley PG/SGTOR	vs CHI7:30 PM ET	31.9	33.0	16-1715-16	4.13-4	5.96-7	2-32-3
Al Horford C/PFGSW	at LAL10:00 PM ET	31.5	32.5	126-7	7.14-5	3.72-3	2.41-2

Our projection in bold; under it, the market-implied projection for the same stat where there is one. Our projection comes from minutes, usage and pace. The market-implied column is the market's number for the same stat, shown beside ours, never folded in. Fantasy points use 1 per point, 1.2 per rebound, 1.5 per assist, 3 per steal, 3 per block, minus 1 per turnover.

Top values: most fantasy points per projected minute

1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIA): 49.0 projected points in 29 minutes, 1.70 a minute.
2. Luka Dončić (LAL): 53.5 projected points in 36 minutes, 1.49 a minute.
3. Kawhi Leonard (TOR): 46.0 projected points in 32 minutes, 1.43 a minute.
4. Jalen Johnson (ATL): 52.4 projected points in 38 minutes, 1.40 a minute, 4.1 over his season average.
5. Anthony Davis (WAS): 48.3 projected points in 35 minutes, 1.39 a minute, 4.3 over his season average.
6. LaMelo Ball (MIN): 39.3 projected points in 30 minutes, 1.33 a minute.
7. Alperen Şengün (HOU): 43.7 projected points in 33 minutes, 1.31 a minute.
8. Josh Giddey (CHI): 48.9 projected points in 38 minutes, 1.30 a minute, 7.3 over his season average.
9. Alex Sarr (WAS): 39.4 projected points in 30 minutes, 1.30 a minute, 3.5 over his season average.
10. Scottie Barnes (TOR): 42.2 projected points in 34 minutes, 1.26 a minute.

Not projected: out or doubtful

Jimmy Butler (Golden State Warriors, out), Brandon Ingram (LA Clippers, out), Jusuf Nurkić (Utah Jazz, out), Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers, out), Kon Knueppel (Charlotte Hornets, out), Kristaps Porziņģis (Golden State Warriors, out), Santi Aldama (Dallas Mavericks, out), Nic Claxton (Chicago Bulls, out), Anthony Black (Orlando Magic, out), Brandin Podziemski (Golden State Warriors, out), Mark Williams (Phoenix Suns, out), Coby White (Charlotte Hornets, out). A player ruled out gets no projection; his minutes go to the teammates above.

More for tonight

• The full slate, injuries and back-to-backs
• Projected starting lineups
• NBA start or sit