Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Brian Robinson Jr.? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Brian Robinson in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.3 points and Brian Robinson at 7.8, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Aaron Jones Sr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Brian Robinson this week yet, so his 7.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (8.4 and 7.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 110 and Brian Robinson at 210. Market coverage on Aaron Jones Sr. is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.3 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 33 rushing yards and 0.4 touchdowns (6 and 8 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Brian Robinson yet. His market-based projections were 8.4 and 7.1 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 7.8, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.5 points ahead of Brian Robinson on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 26.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 81 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 44 more yards.

Brian Robinson and ATL host CIN on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

CIN allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 86 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 30 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Brian Robinson is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. played 32 percent of MIN snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 21 of 53 snaps, 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Through Week 6, Brian Robinson played 31 percent of ATL snaps, took 31 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 19 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 50 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 24 of 57 snaps, 14 carries for 62 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Brian Robinson, Week 5 against BAL: 14 of 64 snaps, 7 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Brian Robinson, Week 6 against CHI: 10 of 55 snaps, 2 carries for 1 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.
• Start Bhayshul Tuten over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Blake Corum over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Alvin Kamara over Brian Robinson.
• Start Blake Corum over Brian Robinson.
• Start Cam Skattebo over Brian Robinson.