Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Ty Johnson? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Ty Johnson in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 7.1 points and Ty Johnson at 5.7, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Ty Johnson this week yet, so his 5.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (5.1 and 6.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.1 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 28 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (13, 11, 11 and 12 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Ty Johnson yet. His market-based projections were 5.1 and 6.3 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 5.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Ty Johnson is 0.2 touchdowns (3 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 1.4 points ahead of Ty Johnson on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 94 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against GB and caught passes for 34 more yards.

Ty Johnson and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 27 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Ty Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. played 33 percent of MIN snaps, took 32 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 21 of 53 snaps, 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 9 against BUF: 17 of 48 snaps, 5 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Through Week 9, Ty Johnson played 23 percent of BUF snaps, took 4 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Ty Johnson, Week 5 against LAR: 14 of 64 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 72 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 6 against LV: 12 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 8 against BAL: 20 of 82 snaps, 4 carries for 4 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 9 against MIN: 17 of 80 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 36 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ty Johnson played 17 games for BUF and scored 100.3 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing RB47.

He ran 50 times for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 33 targets for 263 yards.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.
• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Austin Ekeler.
• Start Blake Corum over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Austin Ekeler over Ty Johnson.
• Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Ty Johnson.
• Start Corey Kiner over Ty Johnson.