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Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Tyler Allgeier? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:46 AM ET.

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · at GB

Market projects
8.7
recent weeks avg
GB D vs RB
25.0
7th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
29 of 100 at RB
Snap share
32%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9
Sit

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · vs LAR

Market projects
8.3
recent weeks avg
LAR D vs RB
19.9
13th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
58 of 100 at RB
Snap share
55%
Through Week 9
Target share
7%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Tyler Allgeier 50 (7.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.7 points and Tyler Allgeier at 8.3, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 8.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (11.3, 7.4 and 7.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 8.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (9.0, 4.3 and 11.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 110 and Tyler Allgeier at 169.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 11.3, 7.4 and 7.5 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 8.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 9.0, 4.3 and 11.6 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 8.3, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 0-1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.4 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 94 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against GB and caught passes for 34 more yards.

Tyler Allgeier and ARI host LAR on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAR allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 81 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against LAR and caught passes for 43 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. played 32 percent of MIN snaps, took 32 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 21 of 53 snaps, 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 9 against BUF: 5 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Through Week 9, Tyler Allgeier played 55 percent of ARI snaps, took 40 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 7 against DEN: 38 of 81 snaps, 8 carries for 19 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 30 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 8 against DAL: 48 of 81 snaps, 11 carries for 147 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 9 against SEA: 51 of 53 snaps, 17 carries for 46 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Tyler Allgeier 50 (7.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Tyler Allgeier?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Tyler Allgeier 50 (7.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?Should I drop Tyler Allgeier?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board