Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Tyler Allgeier? Week 8

Updated Oct 28, 4:26 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 25, 3:43 PM ET: Aaron Jones Sr.: Listed Questionable (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · at DET · Questionable

Market projects: 13.7; recent weeks avg
DET D vs RB: 19.8; 10th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 22 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 25%; Through Week 7
Target share: 4%; Through Week 7

Sit

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · at DAL

Market projects: 9.2; recent weeks avg
DAL D vs RB: 24.6; 7th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 75 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 50%; Through Week 7
Target share: 6%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 141 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 13.7 points and Tyler Allgeier at 9.2, a gap of 4.5. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 13.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 7 (16.2 and 11.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 9.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (6.8, 11.9 and 9.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 110 and Tyler Allgeier at 169.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.2 and 11.3 points in Weeks 5 and 7, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 0.6 touchdowns (12 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 6.8, 11.9 and 9.0 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 9.2, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 4.5 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 19.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 80 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 25 more yards.

Tyler Allgeier and ARI visit DAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DAL allowed 24.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 107 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL and caught passes for 25 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Allgeier has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Aaron Jones Sr. played 25 percent of MIN snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Through Week 7, Tyler Allgeier played 50 percent of ARI snaps, took 34 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 4 against NYG: 36 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 5 against DET: 32 of 73 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 7 against DEN: 38 of 81 snaps, 8 carries for 19 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 30 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 141 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Tyler Allgeier?
No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 141 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?Should I drop Tyler Allgeier?