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Start Zach Charbonnet or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 10:06 AM ET.

Start

RB · SEA · vs ARI

Market projects
10.5
fantasy pts
ARI D vs RB
20.7
14th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
74 of 100 at RB
Snap share
37%
Through Week 8
Target share
12%
Through Week 8
Sit

RB · MIN · vs BUF

Market projects
8.3
fantasy pts
BUF D vs RB
26.5
3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
41 of 100 at RB
Snap share
32%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Zach Charbonnet for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), Zach Charbonnet 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Zach Charbonnet over Aaron Jones Sr., 10.5 to 8.3 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Zach Charbonnet over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Zach Charbonnet at 10.5 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.3, a gap of 2.2. Aaron Jones Sr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Zach Charbonnet at ADP 150 and Aaron Jones Sr. at 110.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Zach Charbonnet, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Zach Charbonnet is 43 rushing yards, 9 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.6 touchdowns (7, 7, 7 and 8 market sources).

Player markets imply 8.3 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 33 rushing yards and 0.4 touchdowns (6 and 8 market sources).

That puts Zach Charbonnet 2.2 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Zach Charbonnet and SEA host ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

ARI allowed 20.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 99 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against ARI and caught passes for 30 more yards.

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 26.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 81 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 44 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Zach Charbonnet is not on the injury report.

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Zach Charbonnet played 37 percent of SEA snaps, took 32 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

Zach Charbonnet, Week 8 against CHI: 23 of 63 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 6 yards.

Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. played 32 percent of MIN snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 21 of 53 snaps, 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Zach Charbonnet played 16 games for SEA and scored 181.4 PPR points, 11.3 a game, finishing RB24.

He ran 184 times for 730 yards and 12 touchdowns, and caught 20 of 24 targets for 144 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Zach Charbonnet, Week 18 of 2025 against SF: 39 of 69 snaps, 17 carries for 74 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.7 PPR points.

Zach Charbonnet, Week 17 of 2025 against CAR: 35 of 66 snaps, 18 carries for 110 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 2 touchdowns, 26.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Zach Charbonnet for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), Zach Charbonnet 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Zach Charbonnet over Aaron Jones Sr., 10.5 to 8.3 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Zach Charbonnet?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), Zach Charbonnet 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Zach Charbonnet over Aaron Jones Sr., 10.5 to 8.3 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board