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Start Aaron Rodgers or Tyson Bagent? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 3:36 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start

QB · CHI · vs NE

Market projects
16.4
recent weeks avg
NE D vs QB
14.6
6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
17 of 100 at QB
Snap share
63%
Through Week 5
Sit

QB · PIT · at NO

Market projects
15.2
fantasy pts
NO D vs QB
18.5
14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
80 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 6

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tyson Bagent over Aaron Rodgers in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tyson Bagent at 16.4 points and Aaron Rodgers at 15.2, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tyson Bagent this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (17.0 and 15.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tyson Bagent yet. His market-based projections were 17.0 and 15.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

Player markets imply 15.2 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 234 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 6 and 13 market sources).

That puts Tyson Bagent 1.2 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tyson Bagent and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 14.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 256 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against NO, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Rodgers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyson Bagent is not on the injury report.

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Tyson Bagent played 63 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 70 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Tyson Bagent, Week 2 against MIN: 10 of 74 snaps, 5 of 8 passes for 54 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Tyson Bagent, Week 4 against NYJ: 93 of 93 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Tyson Bagent, Week 5 against GB: 46 of 69 snaps, 12 of 21 passes for 87 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 17 yards.

Through Week 6, Aaron Rodgers played 99 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 252 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 3 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 12 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyson Bagent played 3 games for CHI and scored 2.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing QB67.

He completed 3 of 4 passes for 47 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 2 times for 7 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board