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Start Bo Nix or Tyson Bagent? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 8:56 AM ET.

Start Bo Nix over Tyson Bagent

Start

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects
17.6
fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB
22.1
4th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
83 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 6
Sit

QB · CHI · vs NE

Market projects
16.4
recent weeks avg
NE D vs QB
14.6
6th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
17 of 100 at QB
Snap share
63%
Through Week 5

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bo Nix over Tyson Bagent in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 17.6 points and Tyson Bagent at 16.4, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tyson Bagent this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (17.0 and 15.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.6 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 90 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 220 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 13 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (7, 8, 7 and 8 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tyson Bagent yet. His market-based projections were 17.0 and 15.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Bo Nix 1.2 points ahead of Tyson Bagent on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 247 yards and 2.7 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

Tyson Bagent and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 14.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Tyson Bagent is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Through Week 5, Tyson Bagent played 63 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 70 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Tyson Bagent, Week 2 against MIN: 10 of 74 snaps, 5 of 8 passes for 54 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Tyson Bagent, Week 4 against NYJ: 93 of 93 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Tyson Bagent, Week 5 against GB: 46 of 69 snaps, 12 of 21 passes for 87 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 17 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyson Bagent played 3 games for CHI and scored 2.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing QB67.

He completed 3 of 4 passes for 47 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 2 times for 7 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board