Start Adonai Mitchell or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 8

Updated Oct 28, 9:06 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Adonai Mitchell

Thomas projects lower, 4.7 to 5.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 72 for Thomas, 195 for Mitchell.

Start

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR · JAX · vs IND

Market projects: 4.7; recent weeks avg
IND D vs WR: 29.0; 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 29 of 100 at WR

Sit

Adonai Mitchell

WR · NYJ · vs LV

Market projects: 5.2; fantasy pts
LV D vs WR: 31.4; 16th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 49 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 67%; Through Week 7
Target share: 20%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Brian Thomas Jr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 65 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.5 a game over 10 games), Adonai Mitchell 32 (3.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over Adonai Mitchell.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Brian Thomas Jr. rookie cards

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Sleeper ESPN Yahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 7am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 8 call

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Adonai Mitchell in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 4.7 points and Adonai Mitchell at 5.2, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Brian Thomas Jr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 72 against 195, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 4.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (5.1 and 4.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 5.2 fantasy points for Adonai Mitchell, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Adonai Mitchell is 23 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (10, 10 and 11 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 5.1 and 4.4 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 4.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Brian Thomas Jr. is 0.2 touchdowns (13 market sources).

That puts Adonai Mitchell 0.5 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Adonai Mitchell and NYJ host LV on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

LV allowed 31.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 150 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against LV.

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 29.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 142 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against IND.

By points allowed to the position, Adonai Mitchell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Adonai Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Adonai Mitchell played 67 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 45 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 1 against TEN: 46 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 60 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 7 against MIA: 26 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 54 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 39 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against DEN: 51 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 3.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Brian Thomas Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 65 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.5 a game over 10 games), Adonai Mitchell 32 (3.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over Adonai Mitchell.
Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Adonai Mitchell?
No. Keep Brian Thomas Jr.: he projects 65 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.5 a game over 10 games), Adonai Mitchell 32 (3.5 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over Adonai Mitchell.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?